Tinna Rubber & Infrastructure Ltd Q3 FY2026 Concall Summary & Transcript Notes

Source transcript PDF: https://www.stockscans.in/document/ddfzp7a7vkl7q2pfy6g3vu8r.pdf

# 1. Financial Performance

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Consolidated Revenue:** **13%** YoY growth · **16%** QoQ growth
   * EBITDA Margin: **16%+** (Q3 & 9M FY'26) · **16.8%** standalone 9M (↑200 bps) · **16.3%** Q3 FY'26 (↓200 bps QoQ)
   *   **Cash & Debt:** **~₹5 Cr** cash balance · **~₹10 Cr** annual debt repayment planned next two years

## B. Revenue Growth
   *   **Resilient Growth Trajectory:** Strong double-digit quarterly revenue expansion driven by higher tire processing volumes and improving industry dynamics post-GST reduction.
   *   **Full-Year Guidance Intact:** Despite low nine-month growth, management maintains 8–9% full-year revenue guidance, implying ~20% Q4 growth, signaling strong near-term momentum.
   *   **Mix-Driven Price Volatility:** Decline in revenue per ton attributed to shifting tire and revenue mix, but management emphasizes **no material business impact**.

## C. EBITDA Margins
   *   **Operational Efficiency Gains:** Standalone EBITDA margin expanded 200 bps to 8% on improved execution, despite headwinds from **lower-grade project mix**.
   *   **Consolidated Margin Pressure:** 110 bps improvement in 9M consolidated EBITDA margin masked by startup costs and JV/associate volatility, expected to normalize.
   *   **Q3 Margin Dip Explained:** Sharp decline in Q3 EBITDA margin to 3% primarily due to **timing shift in EPR credit recognition**, not operational deterioration.
   *   **Verticals Show Parity:** EBITDA margins across business segments remain broadly aligned, averaging ~18%, indicating consistent profitability profile.

## D. PAT & Profitability
   *   **Geographic Profit Divergence:** Global Recycle Oman delivered **₹3.5 lakh PAT contribution**, while African and Middle Eastern JVs posted **combined ₹46 Cr loss**, weighing on consolidated earnings.
   *   **Management Corrects Misconception:** CEO clarifies that company margins improved sequentially, countering potential misinterpretation of reported declines.

## E. Cash Flow & Working Capital
   *   **Stable Working Capital Cycle:** Company maintains a lean **50-day working capital cycle**, with no anticipated changes, supporting cash flow predictability.
   *   **Disciplined Debt Management:** Debt reduction path set at **₹10 Cr per annum**, funded from operations, with current cash balance of **₹5 Cr** providing buffer.

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# 2. Volume & Capacity Utilization

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Tire Crushing Volumes:** **25%** QoQ growth · **7%** 9M growth
   *   **Capacity:** **185,000 tons/year** across seven Indian facilities
   *   **Revenue Guidance:** **INR25 Cr** from Oman plant (9M FY'26)
   *   **Capacity Expansion Target:** **235,000–250,000 tons/year**

## B. Tire Crushing Volumes
   *   **Strong Volume Momentum:** Robust QoQ and nine-month volume growth reflects post-monsoon demand recovery in infrastructure and consumer sectors.
   *   **Export Growth Trajectory:** Volumes on track for **30% increase** by end of Q4 FY'26, signaling expanding international reach.
   *   **Scale-Driven Efficiency:** Higher volumes expected to improve logistics costs and fixed cost absorption, though specific savings remain unquantified.

## C. Plant Utilization Rates
   *   **High Utilization in Key Facilities:** Varale and Oman plants operating at **80% capacity**, underpinned by resilient regional demand.
   *   **Oman Growth Roadmap:** GCC sales currently **40%** of Oman output, targeting **70%** by Q4'26 or Q1'27, with a **20% reduction in ELT cost** aimed at improving margins.
   *   **New Plant Ramp-Up:** TP Buildtech’s facility currently at **15% utilization**, with guidance for **35–40%** within six months.
   *   **Profitability Still Scaling:** EBITDA from Oman operations currently below group average, but management expects improvement with scale.

## D. Capacity Expansion Plans
   *   **Strategic Capacity Build:** Expansion to **235,000–250,000 tons/year** anchored in tire recycling, with downstream diversification into reclaim rubber, micronized powder, and pyrolysis-derived RCB.
   *   **Vertical Integration & Optionality:** Growth plan spans all verticals, enhancing business flexibility while maintaining core focus on tire feedstock.

---

# 3. Segment & Product Performance

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Industrial Segment Revenue Growth:** **+18% YoY**
   *   **Consumer Segment Revenue Growth:** **+10% YoY**
   *   **Steel Segment Revenue Growth:** **+2% YoY**
   *   **TP Buildtech Revenue:** **₹56 Cr** (current year) vs. **₹61 Cr** (prior year)
   *   **Export Volume Growth:** **+20% YoY** · **Crumb Rubber Modifier +80% YoY** · **Emulsion Business +15% YoY**
   *   **Tinna Rubber PAT Growth:** **+53% YoY** (9M) · **+57% YoY** (Q3)
   *   **PCMB Revenue Contribution:** **4%** (9M FY'26) · Target **8–10%** next fiscal
   *   **R&D Allocation:** **₹5 Cr** for lifecycle assessment and new product development
   *   **Work Order Value:** **₹76 Cr** two-year contract with Indian Oil Corporation
   *   **PCMB Volume Target FY'27:** **6,000 tons**

## B. Industrial & Consumer Segments
   *   **Industrial Strength:** Industrial segment delivered strong double-digit revenue growth, underpinned by strategic project wins including a **₹76 Cr work order** from Indian Oil Corporation.
   *   **Consumer Resilience:** Consumer segment showed solid growth despite margin pressure from price corrections, with demand recovery expected post-monsoon due to improved liquidity.
   *   **Steel Volume-Price Divergence:** Steel segment saw volume growth outpace revenue due to volatile and declining steel prices, though core abrasive business remained stable.
   *   **Infra Strategic Pivot:** Infrastructure revenue decline reflects deliberate shift toward higher-value products; TP Buildtech on track to stabilize at prior-year levels with strong Q4 anticipated.

## C. PCMB & RCB Business
   *   **PCMB Scaling On Track:** New polymer composites business is gaining traction with repeat orders and customer satisfaction, targeting 8–10% of group revenue next year and **6,000 tons** volume in FY'27.
   *   **RCB Project Momentum:** Pyrolysis and RCB project remains on schedule for trial runs by end-Q4 FY'26, featuring integrated design and upgrades for premium RCB quality.
   *   **Export & High-Value Product Surge:** Exports rose 20% YoY, led by **80% growth in crumb rubber modifier**, highlighting successful pivot to high-margin infrastructure applications.
   *   **Tinna Rubber Profit Leap:** Tinna Rubber achieved robust profit growth with margin expansion, driven by capacity discipline, global sourcing, and integration benefits.

## D. New Product Launches
   *   **Construction Chemical Expansion:** TP Buildtech launched three new product lines—grout repair, mould release agents, accelerators—with commercialization underway; Kolkata plant ramping up over next 2–3 quarters.
   *   **R&D & Sustainability Push:** ₹5 Cr R&D investment focused on tire recycling, polymer composites, and GHG lifecycle analysis, aligning with long-term adjacencies and ESG goals.
   *   **Vision 2028 Execution:** Company advancing toward 10 recycling sites and **250,000-ton capacity by 2028**, supported by domestic tire capacity expansion boosting recycled material demand.

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# 4. Geography & Export Mix

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Oman Revenue Contribution:** **₹30–36 Cr** annually (~5% of group revenue) (FY26–FY27)
   *   **Saudi Facility Size:** **13,000 sqm plot** · **24,000 TPA capacity** (tire recycling)
   *   **South Africa Phase 1:** **Capex complete**; **Phase 2** (full-scale recycling) planned for FY28

## B. Oman & GCC Contribution
   *   **Oman Recovery Underway:** Business has turned positive, with performance improving sequentially from November to December and expected to strengthen further in January.
   *   **Stable GCC Footprint:** Oman to remain a **~5% revenue contributor** through FY27, anchoring regional presence.

## C. Saudi Arabia Expansion
   *   **Project Execution On Track:** Full approvals secured for Saudi facility; site work to commence by mid-FY27, aligned with Oman and South Africa timelines.
   *   **Long-Term Revenue Parity:** Saudi operation expected to reach **revenue scale comparable to Oman** upon full ramp-up.

## D. South Africa Operations
   *   **Near-Term Focus on Logistics:** Phase 1 operational—handling cutting, baling, and export of tires to India; serves as feedstock source for domestic recycling.
   *   **Path to Profitability:** Venture currently loss-making but on track to **stabilize and reach break-even by Q2 FY27** ahead of Phase 2 expansion.
   *   **Domestic Diversification:** New **concrete admixtures plant near Kolkata** established, expanding geographic reach beyond North and West India.

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# 5. Supply Chain & Input Sourcing

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Renewable Energy Usage:** **24%** of total power (9M FY'26) · Target: **32%** by end-FY'26, **>50%** by end-FY'27
   *   **Cost Savings:** **INR4 Cr** expected in FY'26 · **INR2 Cr+** from solar (9M FY'26)

## B. Imported Tire Dependence
   *   **Heavy Import Reliance:** The majority of end-of-life tire feedstock is imported, with minimal domestic procurement, reflecting structural dependence on global supply.
   *   **Raw Material Stability:** Raw material costs have remained stable over recent quarters, supported by **diverse processing capabilities across tire types and geographies**, mitigating margin risk.
   *   **No Direct Auto Sales Link:** Management emphasizes no confirmed correlation between higher auto sales and lower scrap tire prices, dispelling assumptions of input cost relief from vehicle demand.

## C. Global Supply Origins
   *   **Diversified Import Sources:** Tires are sourced from multiple regions, including **South Africa**, covering both **passenger car radial** and **truck bus radial** types, ensuring supply flexibility.

## D. South Africa Logistics
   *   **Logistics vs. Cost Trade-off:** Despite geographic proximity to sources like South Africa and the Middle East, **higher labor and power costs in South Africa** offset potential freight savings, limiting nearshoring benefits.
   *   **Current Export Model:** Semi-processed material from South Africa is shipped to India for final recycling; no pellet exports from South Africa to third markets currently.

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# 6. Risks & Regulatory Factors

## A. Key Figures
   * **EPR Credits:** **₹23.9 Cr** in 9M FY26 · **₹24.4 Cr** in 9M FY25

## B. EPR & Regulatory Landscape
   *   **Favorable Policy Tailwinds:** EPR framework expected to sustain demand for recycled rubber over the next **3 to 4 years**, despite absence of new mandatory recycled content rules for roads.
   *   **Revenue Recognition Timing:** EPR credits recognized only upon government portal update, causing a lumpy margin impact—boosted prior quarter, now normalized with Q3 recognition.
   *   **Infrastructure Policy Support:** Recent budget announcements of **seven new freight corridors and expressways** reinforce long-term demand visibility, aligning with government’s **five-year infrastructure push**.

## C. International Operations
   *   **Delayed International Ramp-Up:** Timeline for profitability outside Oman extended, with South Africa operations still loss-making due to market entry complexities; stabilization expected in **a few more months**.

## D. Seasonality & External Factors
   *   **Monsoon Disruptions:** Extended rains delayed road and sport turfing projects, consistent with seasonal patterns—construction typically pauses **3–4 months** during monsoon, resuming strongly from **October onward**.
   *   **Indirect GST Impact:** Lower tire GST unlikely to directly affect business but may modestly boost raw material supply and product demand via higher tire consumption.
   *   **ESG Initiative Underway:** Life cycle GHG study with **QACA** launched to measure emissions from tire collection to crumb rubber, supporting ESG alignment—no cost benefits quantified yet.

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# 7. Guidance & Outlook

## A. Key Figures
   *   **FY '26 Revenue Guidance:** **INR 535–540 Cr** (revised, 8–9% growth) · **TTM Revenue:** **INR 520 Cr**
   *   **FY '27 Revenue Projection:** **~INR 700 Cr or higher**
   *   **Vision 2028 Target:** **INR 1,000 Cr revenue**, **18%+ EBITDA margin**, **ROCE >30%**
   *   **Capex (9M FY'26):** **INR 79 Cr** · **Additional Planned Capex:** **INR 50 Cr**
   *   **Unutilized QIP Proceeds:** **INR 45 Lakh**

## B. FY '26 Revenue & Market Outlook
   *   **Guidance Anchored in Realism:** Management maintains revised FY '26 revenue guidance of 8–9%, citing updated visibility and a track record of projections within **7–8% accuracy** of actuals.
   *   **Demand Tailwinds:** Rising auto sales across vehicle segments expected to boost tire replacement demand, supporting core business momentum.
   *   **Pipeline Quality Improving:** Order visibility strengthening with addition of **long-term, creditworthy customers** despite limited near-term disclosure.

## C. Vision 2028 & Strategic Growth Levers
   *   **Multi-Year Roadmap on Track:** Vision 2028 hinges on execution of capex projects and geographic expansion, with confidence reiterated despite no near-term guidance uplift.
   *   **New Revenue Streams Imminent:** Full-fledged tire recycling in South Africa, RCB/pyrolysis operations, and Saudi expansion are key growth drivers for FY '27–'28.
   *   **South Africa Break-Even Expected:** Projected to reach breakeven in **Q1 FY '27**, aligning with prior timeline.

## D. Capex Execution & Project Timelines
   *   **Capex Deployment Advanced:** Majority of QIP funds utilized; **INR 50 Cr incremental spend** allocated to complete key projects, including **INR 20 Cr for Varale (RCB pyro)** and **~INR 20 Cr for Saudi Arabia**.
   *   **Project Milestones Looming:** Pyrolysis plant trials expected in **Q4**, with RCB plant commercial start targeted in **Q1 FY '27**, despite minor execution headwinds.
   *   **Near-Term Revenue Impact Minimal:** New projects may contribute **small revenue in Q4**, but material ramp-up expected only in FY '27.