Key Takeaways
- Revenue nearly doubled, PAT tripled: Revenue grew 96% YoY and PAT ~150%, powered by a ~₹650 crores contribution from large PSU solar orders and a margin lift from 8.9% to 11.7%.
- Order book missed the ambitious target: The order book closed at ₹5,044 crores against a prior guidance of ₹8,500 crores, though management targets reaching ₹8,000-8,500 crores by March 2026.
- BESS and Railways are the new growth bets: The company became L1 for a Telangana BESS project and won a ₹228 crores Kavach railway order, seeding two divisions it aims to scale to material revenue contributors by 2030.
- Receivables are elevated but seasonal: Trade receivables sit at 34% of turnover due to a ₹530 crores revenue surge in Feb-March, with over ₹100 crores already collected in April and the rest maturing by June.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the BESS LOI converts to a signed contract, the pace of new order inflows needed to bridge the ₹3,000+ crores gap to the FY26 order book target, and the actual margin impact as the low-margin services mix grows.
The PSU Solar Engine & Margin Mechanics
- Concentrated revenue driver: Two PSU clients, Singareni Collieries and MAHAGENCO, contributed ~₹650 crores, fundamentally reshaping the revenue mix as solar jumped from 28% to 58% of total revenue while telecom fell from 52% to 28%.
- Margin expansion from execution, not pricing: Operating leverage improved by 3.5-4% because large-scale projects were executed within or ahead of timelines, avoiding cost overruns, while fixed-price customer contracts and advance supplier payments locked in costs.
- The mix shift is structural: Management expects solar to remain at 55-60% of revenue in FY26, with telecom at ~30% and products at 10-15%, a permanent rebalancing of the business.
- Working capital stretched by strategic advances: The 75-day cash conversion cycle was maintained, but operating cash flow turned negative because ₹120 crores in advances were paid to suppliers to secure prices and delivery timelines for long-lead items, a deliberate choice management says would have left cash flows positive otherwise.
Baratam Satyanarayana: "Actually, whatever we have raised in last two months, those invoices are getting matured in April, May and June. In fact, April month we have collected more than Rs.100 crores, even May month and June month are also we are going to collect all this money, that's not at all a concern."
Order Book: The Gap and the Pipeline
- The shortfall is real but undetailed: The order book of ₹5,044 crores fell well short of the ₹8,500 crores guided earlier, and management did not explain where specific orders slipped, instead pivoting to a target of ₹8,000-8,500 crores by March 2026 after recognizing current-year revenue.
- Segment-wise ambition for March 2026: The targeted order book build implies ~₹4,000 crores from solar EPC, ~₹500 crores from BESS, ~₹1,000-1,200 crores from telecom, with the rest from products and railways.
- Tender pipeline remains active: Management refutes any election-driven slowdown, citing thousands of crores in live tenders on NTPC and government portals across renewable energy, telecom (including a ~6,000 tower 4G saturation tender), and railways, arguing these essential-services segments are insulated from political or geopolitical disruption.
- Adani and BharatNet as near-term catalysts: The company is in serious discussions with Adani for telecom orders, subject to commercial negotiations, and expects BharatNet Phase III to mature in the next 1-2 months.
- Game Changer repeat order stalled: A previously successful $2.1 million international order is on hold because the US customer is reassessing costs after Trump administration import duties on steel structures from India, with no visibility on when or if it will resume.
Management: "I don't think for our renewable energy or our telecom or even the railways, if you see that actually we are all there in essential services segments. These are all essential services, whether general elections comes or whether war comes. These services are not going to stop or these projects are not going to wait."
BESS: The Next Big Bet
- First-mover L1 status: The company emerged as L1 for a Telangana GENCO battery energy storage system project (50 MW power, 100 MWh storage), with the board meeting underway and an LOI expected within two weeks.
- CapEx model introduces asset risk: This first BESS order is under a CapEx model where Bondada invests and collects rentals over 12 years, a departure from the pure EPC model, though the company is also participating in EPC-model BESS tenders.
- Scaling ambition is aggressive: Management targets installing 2 GW of BESS by 2030 and wants the division to become as large as the solar EPC business, though it notes that per-MW-hour project costs (~₹1.8 crores) are roughly half those of solar EPC (~₹3.5-4 crores), so gigawatt scale will not translate one-to-one into revenue.
- Supply chain runs through China: The company has tied up with Chennai-based G Power for BESS and is working with 3-4 other suppliers, all of whom source from China's Goshen Energy, creating a single-point dependency in a geopolitically sensitive supply chain.
- Revenue starts small: BESS revenue is expected to begin in the next half year, contributing only ~₹10-12 crores over six months by March 2026, a modest start relative to the long-term ambition.
Dr. Bondada Raghavendra Rao: "This is going to be future business and renewal energy."
Railways & New Verticals
- Kavach entry opens a long runway: The company won a ₹228 crores South-Central Railway Kavach infrastructure project as a system integrator providing private communication networks (fiber, towers, power), not as a core equipment supplier, positioning it for a safety-focused CapEx cycle that management calls a "huge, huge business for next 5 to 10 years."
- Scaling target is specific but distant: Management wants the railways division to reach 20-25% of revenue contribution and ₹500-600 crores per annum by 2030, though the current decentralized, zone-by-zone tendering process is slow, with no timeline for larger length-kilometer orders.
- Microsoft data center O&M is a small but strategic win: Bondada has been empaneled with Microsoft and will sign an agreement in the next 1-2 months to manage two 25 MW data centers in Hyderabad, with monthly revenue per data center initially estimated at ~₹70 lakhs before management walked back the figure, and a potential future path into data center construction.
- Products business is a steady compounder: The product segment grew ~35% YoY to ₹218 crores and management expects 35-40% annual growth to continue at least until 2030, driven by eco-build products, solar streetlights, LED products, and BLDC motors, though specifics on new product scale remain vague.
Management: "Even if I am able to do around 3-4 percent is also out of that, it's a huge, huge business for next to 5 to 10 years, you have just started now railways and we are expecting to grow almost like we want to take this division also as like as our telecom and solar maybe down the line, it may go up to 20%, 25% of our revenue contribution."
Services Margins & the Reliance Jio Drag
- Services margins are structurally lower than EPC: Overall services margin is 9% versus 11.89% for EPC, a gap that management attributes to the fact that 70% of services revenue comes from a Reliance Jio contract carrying only 5-7% margins.
- BSNL O&M offers a partial fix: The recently completed BSNL 4G saturation project will now generate an O&M revenue stream, which management expects will improve services margins from current levels, though no quantified target was provided.
- The margin question was not fully resolved: When pressed on why services overall cannot command higher margins from non-Jio contracts, management did not address the structural mix issue, leaving open the question of whether services margins can ever converge with EPC.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | Maintain 50-60% CAGR, doubling revenue to sustain the compounded growth trajectory of the last 10 years | Next 3-5 years, through 2030 |
| Order book build | Reach ₹8,000-8,500 crores order book after recognizing current-year revenue | By March 2026 |
| Segment order book mix | ~₹4,000 cr solar EPC, ~₹500 cr BESS, ~₹1,000-1,200 cr telecom, rest products & railways | By March 2026 |
| BESS revenue start | ~₹10-12 crores revenue from BESS | Next half year, by March 2026 |
| BESS installed capacity | Install 2 GW of BESS | By 2030 |
| Railways revenue | ₹500-600 crores per annum from railways division | By 2030 |
| Products growth | 35-40% year-on-year growth | At least until 2030 |
| Solar IPP capacity | 2 GW target; this year only 25-30 MW max | By 2030; current year |
| Working capital | Maintain 75-day cash conversion cycle | FY26 |
| Margins | Maintain current profitability; may improve by one or two basis points; IPP projects could lift portfolio margins | FY26 |
| Microsoft data center agreement | Sign O&M agreement for two 25 MW Hyderabad data centers | Next 1-2 months |
| BharatNet Phase III | Tender expected to mature | Next 1-2 months |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY25 |
|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹1,572 cr, +96% YoY |
| PAT growth | ~150% YoY |
| Order book | ₹5,044 cr, of which RE is ₹3,589 cr |
| Solar EPC order book | ₹3,300 cr, to be executed in 10–18 months |
| BESS order (L1, not yet final) | ₹240 cr, 50 MW / 100 MWh CapEx model |
| Product business revenue | ₹218 cr, +35% YoY |
| RE segment revenue | ₹917 cr, 4x YoY from ₹221 cr |
| Receivables (year-end) | ₹537 cr, 34% of turnover; includes GST |
| Cash conversion cycle | 75 days, managed last year; expected to be maintained |
| Bank guarantee limit | ₹280 cr, with additional ₹125 cr sanctioned from SBI |
| Revenue mix guidance (FY26) | Solar 55–60%, telecom ~30%, products 10–15% |
| Margin outlook | May improve by 1–2 bps; operating leverage from PSU orders added 3.5–4% |
| Railways order (Kavach infra) | ₹228 cr from South-Central Railway |
| Railways revenue target (FY26) | ₹100–120 cr from current order |
| BESS revenue expectation (H2 FY26) | ₹10–12 cr for 6 months of rental revenue |
| FY26 order book target | ₹8,000–8,500 cr by March 2026 after revenue recognition |
| Revenue CAGR outlook | 50–60%, management confident of maintaining till 2030 |