Heritage Foods Ltd Q2 FY2026 Concall Summary & Transcript Notes

Source transcript PDF: https://www.stockscans.in/document/etr9huesrqzep5wfwyyvc85c.pdf

# 1. Financial Performance

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Revenue:** **₹1,100 Cr** (2nd consecutive quarter)
   * EBITDA Margin: 6.9% (–122 bps YoY) · +44 bps QoQ
   *   **PAT:** **₹51 Cr** (+5%)
   * Heritage Nutrivet Revenue: INR581 million (+34% YoY) · PBT: INR54 million (+80% YoY)

## B. Revenue Growth
   *   **Sustained Top-Line Strength:** Revenue held steady at record levels for the second straight quarter, driven by **strong consumer traction**, **retail expansion**, and a strategic pivot to **higher-value products**.
   *   **Subsidiary Outperformance:** Heritage Nutrivet delivered exceptional profitability growth, signaling successful execution in feed adoption and operational efficiency.
   *   **B2C Resilience:** Excluding bulk sales, the B2C segment achieved **11% turnover growth**, underscoring brand strength and pricing power in core categories.

## C. Profit Margins
   *   **Margin Pressure from Input Costs:** EBITDA margin contraction YoY stemmed from milk procurement costs rising faster than realizations, with only partial pass-through achieved.
   *   **Early Signs of Stabilization:** Sequential margin improvement of 44 bps indicates pricing actions are beginning to offset cost headwinds, supporting near-term **margin normalization**.
   *   **Structural Leverage Challenge:** Employee and other expenses growing at **15–20% annually** continue to outpace revenue, limiting operating leverage despite gross margin improvements.
   *   **Path to Margin Expansion:** Management emphasizes that **volume recovery** is critical to unlock non-linear cost absorption and improve overhead recovery, given high fixed-cost investments.

## D. Cash Flow & Capex
   *   **Growth-Funded Cost Base:** Elevated operating and marketing expenses reflect pre-emptive capacity and talent investments, with fixed costs tied to building **people, operating, and brand assets**.
   *   **Efficiency Potential:** Per-unit costs are expected to decline materially as output scales to planned levels, unlocking significant cost efficiencies.

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# 2. Volume & Pricing Trends

## A. Key Figures
   * Milk Sales Volume: 12.1 lakh liters/day (+1.1% YoY)
   *   **Milk Realizations:** **₹57/liter**
   * Raw Milk Price Increase: +4.5%
   * Milk Price Hike: +4.5%
   *   **GST on Ice Cream:** **18% → 5%** (-13 pp)

## B. Liquid Milk Trends
   *   **Pricing Discipline Over Volume:** Milk volume growth slowed to **1% in Q2** after sequential deceleration, reflecting demand elasticity following a **5% price increase** amid rising input costs.
   *   **Growth Regime Shift:** Transition from prior volume-driven milk growth to price-led expansion challenges near-term volume trends, pressuring the path to **early-teens consolidated growth**.
   *   **Volume Rebound Targeted:** Internal initiatives underway to lift liquid milk volume growth from historical **5–6% to 8–9%**, reducing exposure to weather and input cost volatility.

## C. Value-Added Product Mix
   *   **Mix Optimization Underway:** Strategic exit from low-margin B2B fat sales and B2C-focused expansion are enhancing overall **sales mix quality**.
   *   **GST Boosts Formalization:** Recent GST rationalization has strengthened competitiveness, accelerated shift from unorganized players, and is expected to drive **durable volume and share gains** despite temporary pricing adjustments.
   *   **Seasonal Mix Volatility:** Product mix fluctuates seasonally—Q1 hit by weather, Q2 milk-heavy, Q3 pressured by **less profitable festival-driven fat sales**—creating margin headwinds.

## D. Ice Cream Pricing
   *   **Major Affordability Inflection:** **13 percentage point GST cut** (18% → 5%) significantly improves affordability and is poised to catalyze consumption and category expansion.

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# 3. Channel & Distribution

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Distribution Expansion:** **+60 distributor points** and **+2,000 retail points** in Q2
   *   **Marketing Spends:** **~60% YoY increase** in Q2
   *   **Campaign Reach:** **5,000 GRP** on TV and **7 crore digital views** in Q2

## B. Retail Expansion
   *   **Accelerated Outward Reach:** Distribution network expanded significantly in Q2, enabling access to **6,000 additional retail outlets** with plans to add **10,000 more in Q3** to support volume growth targets.
   *   **Scalable Volume Impact:** New retail points expected to generate meaningful incremental volume, underpinning confidence in sustained distribution-led growth.

## C. Digital & Brand Traction
   *   **Strong Brand Momentum:** Significant improvements in awareness and trial rates across key metros, with **Hyderabad showing a 30 percentage point jump in trial rates**, indicating effective market penetration.
   *   **High-Impact Campaigns:** Major marketing push—including *Pure Doodh ki Shakti* and Big Boss sponsorship—secured **40% share of voice** and elevated the brand to **top advertiser status** in core markets.
   *   **Strategic Spend Prioritization:** Elevated marketing investments are deliberate and focused on building long-term brand equity, supported by **25% to 30% growth in key consumer metrics**.

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# 4. Product & Segment Performance

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Value-added Product Revenue:** **₹200 Cr** (+18% YoY) (~38% of total sales)
   * Bulk Fat Sales: ₹3.67 Cr (vs. ₹26.34 Cr prior year)
   * Ice Cream Sales: **₹19.46 Cr** (Q2)
   * Curd Volume Growth: 10.1% (Q2) vs. 4% (Q1)
   *   **Drinkables Growth:** **12%** (Q2) after prior decline
   *   **Ice Cream Volume Growth:** **17%** (Q2) vs. 5% (Q1)
   *   **Ice Cream Revenue Growth:** **20%** (Q2)

## B. Curd & Paneer Sales
   *   **Core VAP Driver:** Curd remains the dominant value-added product, representing **~71% of VAP**, with paneer as the second-largest contributor, underpinning margin strength.
   *   **Resilient Demand:** Curd volume growth held steady at 1% in Q2 despite adverse weather, though current utilization lags capacity with recovery expected in normalized conditions.
   *   **Natural Differentiation:** Fermented products like curd, buttermilk, and lassi are naturally low-lactose, positioning Heritage favorably for lactose-intolerant consumers.
   *   **Margin Upside Path:** Blended VAP margins expected to expand as newer categories (yogurt, drinkables, ghee) scale beyond investment phase.
   *   **Profitability Leverage:** Nutrivet integration enhances stand-alone profitability and improves dairy cost efficiency via better milk yield and quality.

## C. Ice Cream & Drinkables
   *   **Strong Ice Cream Momentum:** Ice cream delivered 17% volume and 20% revenue growth in Q2, driven by pricing/mix benefits and full utilization of **25,000L/day capacity** during peak season.
   *   **Growth Despite Challenges:** Drinkables rebounded to 12% growth in Q2 after Q1 decline, outperforming in tough weather without new SKUs.
   *   **Strategic Repositioning:** Ice cream is being positioned as a healthier alternative to soft drinks, supported by tax advantages and rising accessibility.
   *   **Below-Expectation VAP Growth:** Management noted VAP growth at ~15%, 500 bps below internal targets, signaling near-term execution headwinds.
   *   **Bulk Fat Decline:** Sharp drop in bulk fat sales reflects strategic shift toward higher-margin value-added products.

## D. New Product Launches
   *   **Successful National Rollout:** Sampurna cow milk and yogurt scaled nationwide in Q2, with **two new regional variants** set for Q3 launch to boost volume.
   *   **Heritage Novandie Integration:** Yogurt now available in Tier 2 cities, expanding health-focused portfolio with new SKUs.
   *   **Livo Brand Traction:** Achieved in two months the same sales volume as competitor Mamie Yova built over extended period, indicating strong market acceptance.
   *   **Future Innovation Pipeline:** Company exploring **lactose-free milk** development, aligning with consumer health trends and product differentiation.

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# 5. Supply & Procurement

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Milk Procurement:** **1 lakh liters/day** average (–2% YoY)
   *   **Chilling Throughput:** **17 lakh liters** processed via **186 centers** (from 13L/214)
   *   **Collection Efficiency:** **1,200–1,300 vehicles** handling **13 lakh liters/day**
   *   **Productivity Gains:** **+10%** liters/person in factories; **higher liters/kWh**

## B. Milk Procurement Trends
   *   **Volume Decline Amid Cost Pressure:** Milk procurement down **2% YoY** due to rainy season disruptions, water shortages, and higher input costs, with recovery expected in Q3 flush season.
   *   **Market Dynamics Impact Supply:** Surge in butter exports and elevated global fat prices drove domestic demand for free-floating milk, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances.
   *   **Supply Resilience Measures:** Multi-regional operations and agile procurement helped manage pricing and availability; farmer loyalty supported by timely payments and feed assistance.
   *   **Seasonal Rebound Expected:** Procurement projected to rise by **1–2 lakh liters/day** on seasonal recovery and pre-lean season inventory buildup.

## C. Chilling Efficiency
   *   **Structural Efficiency Gains:** Significant improvement in throughput per chilling center—approaching **doubling** over three years—driving down unit operating costs despite inflation.
   *   **Optimized Logistics & Freshness:** Enhanced milk collection per kilometer reduces transport distance, lowers costs, and improves milk quality across the network.
   *   **Technology-Led Transformation:** Heavy investment in automation, SAP integration, RPA, and AI agents across facilities to boost efficiency and enable real-time monitoring of productivity, energy use, and logistics.
   *   **Sustainability-Driven Cost Control:** Focus on renewable energy and logistics optimization to reduce carbon footprint and power expenses, supporting long-term margin resilience.

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# 6. Demand & Weather Risks

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Weather Impact:** Up to **29% excess rainfall** in operational regions
   *   **Growth Trend:** Performing **4–5% below expected growth trends** due to weather

## B. Seasonality Impact
   *   **Festive & Flush Season Outlook:** Positive momentum expected with easing milk availability, improved consumer sentiment, and GST-led competitiveness driving broader market expansion.
   *   **Weather-Driven Sales Volatility:** Value-added dairy products (excluding sweets and paneer) show strong sales correlation to favorable weather, with volume spikes observed on good weather days.
   *   **Resilience Amid Adverse Conditions:** Despite Q2 being the toughest quarter due to higher rainfall and lower temperatures, performance improved across all value-added categories versus prior quarter.
   *   **Reduced Ice Cream Seasonality:** Year-round demand potential emerging, supported by shifting consumer preferences and favorable policy changes.

## C. Monsoon Disruptions
   *   **Monsoon-Induced Supply Chain Stress:** Erratic patterns disrupted milk production, collection, and transport, contributing to lean season challenges and butter shortages.
   *   **Demand-Supply Mismatch:** Outsourced manufacturing was initiated for anticipated summer demand, but weather disruptions suppressed demand, leaving internal capacity sufficient.

## D. Input-Output Volatility
   *   **Structural Price Volatility:** Milk prices historically spike every 3–4 years due to weather; recent uptick follows prior inflationary peaks in FY22–FY23, signaling ongoing cyclicality.
   *   **Limited Pricing Power:** Despite India’s dominant milk production scale, the company’s small market share constrains ability to influence industry-wide price movements.

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# 7. Guidance & Outlook
  
## A. Key Figures
   *   **Value-added product mix:** **+3%** in Q2 FY26  
   *   **Capex trend:** **₹150 Cr** average annual spend (recent years)  
   *   **Growth guidance:** **15–16%** current run rate, expected to accelerate  
   *   **Value-added product growth (Q3):** **~20%** expected  

## B. H2 Margin Recovery
   *   **Margin Rebound in Sight:** Structural improvements in **product mix**, **procurement**, and **operational efficiency** are now translating into financial performance, with H2 margins expected to recover on easing milk costs and seasonal supply normalization.  
   *   **Profitability Levers Active:** Despite near-term headwinds from **less profitable fats** offsetting input cost relief, management expects better operating leverage and **medium-term margin expansion** driven by technology-enabled cost control and efficiency tracking.  
   *   **Cautious FY26 View:** FY26 remains a **challenging "washout" year** with no confirmed margin targets, though internal plans anticipate meaningful improvement by **FY27** as capacity utilization improves and value-added mix gains traction.  
   *   **Seasonal Tailwinds Ahead:** Q3 typically sees improved milk supply and lower raw material prices, supporting margin recovery—especially given stable finished product pricing.  

## C. FY26 Growth Trajectory
   *   **Resilience Amid Disruption:** H1 FY26 focused on navigating inflation and weather shocks while reinforcing long-term sustainability, with management urging focus on **multi-year trends** over volatile quarterly results.  
   *   **Massive Consumption Upside:** Per capita ice cream consumption in India remains just **10% of Western levels** and **25% of China’s**, underscoring a compelling long-term growth runway.  

## D. Capex & Capacity Plans
   *   **Capacity Expansion Accelerating:** New **greenfield ice cream facility** set for commissioning by year-end will boost efficiency and cut logistics costs, while **150 tons of new curd capacity** and expanded paneer/VA lines support volume growth.  
   *   **Next-Gen Facility Approved:** Board-approved investment in a **larger, automated ice cream plant** will enable new SKUs and meet rising demand, reinforcing commitment to the high-margin frozen desserts segment.  
   *   **Capex Aligned with Growth:** Sustained **₹150 Cr annual investment** reflects confidence in structural demand, with expansion justified by current growth momentum and long-term market potential.