Aadhar Housing Finance Ltd Q2 FY2026 Concall Summary & Transcript Notes

Source transcript PDF: https://www.stockscans.in/document/ofc8xsygf96igktvmjt81k9j.pdf

# 1. Financial Performance

## A. Key Figures
   *   **AUM:** **₹27,554 Cr** (H1 FY'26) (+21% YoY) · **₹266 Cr** Q2 AUM (+17% YoY)
   *   **PAT:** **₹504 Cr** (H1 FY'26) (+18% YoY)
   * Cost to Income Ratio: 36.1% (H1 FY'26) (-30 bps YoY)
   *   **Liquidity:** **₹2,270 Cr** (~10% of loan book)
   *   **OPEX:** **₹201 Cr** (Q2 FY'26) (+34% YoY/QoQ)

## B. Revenue & AUM Growth
   *   **Sustained Portfolio Expansion:** AUM growth remains robust with strong double-digit YoY momentum, driven by consistent demand in low-income housing finance.
   *   **Organic Growth Trajectory:** Sequential AUM increases reflect disciplined underwriting and **healthy loan book** quality without reliance on one-off factors.

## C. Profitability & Margins
   *   **Margin Resilience:** Exit spread improved to **9%** amid stable yields, supporting profitability despite rising operating expenses.
   *   **Cost Discipline Intact:** Significant reduction in cost-to-income ratio continues, with management on track for **40–50 bps full-year improvement**, signaling operating leverage.

## D. Balance Sheet Strength
   *   **Conservative Underwriting:** Portfolio characterized by low average ticket size (**₹5 lakh**) and prudent **60% LTV**, reinforcing asset quality and risk resilience.
   *   **Strong Capital Base:** Tier-1 and Tier-2 capital ratios remain healthy, supported by **strong internal accruals** that enhance financial flexibility.

## E. Liquidity & Cash Flow
   *   **Robust Liquidity Coverage:** Liquidity buffer maintained at a solid **~10% of loan book**, ensuring ample capacity to fund ongoing organic growth.

---

# 2. Loan Book & Disbursements

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Disbursements:** **₹4,089 Cr** (+16% YoY)
   *   **H1 Disbursement Contribution:** **42%** of annual total
   *   **Product Mix:** **73%** home loans, **27%** loans against property
   * Yields: **12.15%** on home loans, **15.75%** on non-home loans

## B. Disbursement Trends
   *   **Strong H1 Momentum:** Robust year-to-date lending performance driven by **32% YoY growth in Q1**, partially offset by seasonally muted Q2 activity.
   *   **Regulatory & Seasonal Impact:** Q2’s low sequential growth reflects a high base effect from prior-year regulatory shifts and **extended monsoon disruptions in North India**, particularly affecting self-construction home loans.
   *   **Full-Year Confidence:** H1 disbursements at **42% of annual volume** align with historical patterns, supporting visibility into achieving the **18–20% full-year growth target**.

## C. H1-H2 Seasonality
   *   **Seasonal Pattern Intact:** Despite a slightly front-loaded year, disbursement cadence remains consistent with the typical **40–60 H1-H2 split**, with **Q3 and Q4 historically delivering 57%** of annual volume.

## D. Product Mix
   *   **Secured Retail Focus:** Portfolio remains fully secured and retail-centric, with home loans as the dominant segment.
   *   **Yield Enhancement:** Disproportionate contribution from **non-home loan yields**—significantly above home loan returns—is lifting overall portfolio yield.

---

# 3. Asset Quality & Collections

## A. Key Figures
   * Gross NPA: 1.4% as of Sep-25 (+10 bps YoY) · Stage-II assets improved by ~20 bps YoY
   * Collection Efficiency: >99% (reported) · 98.96% (current)
   * Stage-III Provision Coverage Ratio: 34.3%
   * **30+ Days Past Due (TDPD):** **~4.6%** in Q2 FY26 (–5 bps QoQ)
   * **Balance Transfer-Out Rate:** **5.4%** in H1 FY26 (–50 bps YoY)
   *   **Recoveries from Written-Off Portfolio:** **₹6–8 Cr** (quarterly, one-off) · **₹25 Cr** potential future recoveries

## B. NPA Trends
   *   **Asset Quality Improvement:** Despite a sequential uptick in Gross NPA, underlying trends show strengthening, with Stage-II assets improving YoY and early delinquency buckets showing better resolution.
   *   **Credit Quality Outlook:** Lower construction costs expected to enhance loan affordability and support incremental demand via formal housing finance channels.
   *   **Provisioning Adequacy:** Stage-III coverage at **3%**, indicating conservative stance on stressed assets despite low recoveries to date.
   *   **Portfolio Migration:** Recent Stage-III NPA increase driven by **8 bps movement from Stage-II**, reflecting forward flow rather than new slippages.

## C. Collection Efficiency
   *   **High Retention & Collections:** Balance transfer-out rate improved on centralized retention and data science initiatives, with **27%-30% of at-risk customers retained** through targeted efforts.
   *   **Stable Bounce Rates:** Bounce rate remains in the **early 20% range** for six consecutive quarters, indicating stable customer payment behavior.
   *   **Operational Rigor:** Collection performance attributed to dedicated delinquency bucket teams, in-house legal enforcement (SARFAESI, Section 138), and **~1,500 frontline staff**, not isolated external factors.

## D. Delinquency Metrics
   *   **Flat Near-Term Delinquency:** One-plus DPD stable at **~17-18%**, signaling no deterioration but limited near-term improvement in initial payment delays.

---

# 4. Funding & Cost of Capital

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Total Borrowings:** **₹17,600 Cr** (Sep 2025) (+21%) · **₹1,800 Cr** incremental in Q2 (<8%)
   * Cost of Funds: 7.9% exit rate (Sep 2025) · 73% floating-rate liabilities · 75% floating-rate assets
   * Leverage Ratio: 2.5–2.6x current · target range of 3.5x to 4x
   *   **Borrowing Mix:** **50%** banks · **21%** NHB · **22%** NCDs · **7%** ECB/others
   *   **Undrawn Sanctions:** **₹2,381 Cr** total · **₹1,250 Cr** from NHB

## B. Cost of Funds
   *   **Favorable Repricing Outlook:** Cost of funds expected to decline to **8% by year-end**, supported by MCLR pass-through and ALCO-guided timing, despite no RPLR pass-on to customers.
   *   **Gradual Deleveraging Path:** Current leverage above typical AA-rated peer comfort but within range for AA+; management plans **slow, measured increase** toward target, prioritizing stability.
   *   **Partial Rating Benefit Realized:** AA+ upgrade has delivered initial cost reduction, though **full funding advantage not yet reflected** in incremental borrowings.

## C. Borrowing Mix
   *   **Diversified & Resilient Funding Base:** Broad lender network with **44 active relationships** and substantial undrawn capacity, enhancing liquidity resilience.
   *   **Strategic Access Expansion:** Awaiting formal upgrades from agencies like ICRA to unlock **longer-tenor flows from insurance and pension funds**, boosting maturity profile.

## D. Rating Impact
   *   **Positive Outlook as Catalyst:** Shift to positive outlook signals momentum toward broader upgrades, positioning for **incremental NCD cost savings of 20–25 bps** as market recognition improves.

---

# 5. Branch & Distribution Network

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Branch Count:** **611** total branches (+20 in quarter) across 22 states, 549 districts
   *   **AUM Mix:** **26%-27%** non-home loans · **45%** business from emerging markets
   *   **Expansion Plan:** **50–55** new branches targeted by FY '26 (**15 urban**, **35 emerging**)

## B. Branch Expansion
   *   **Accelerated Growth:** Robust branch rollout continues with **20 new locations** added in the quarter, fully expensed with no one-off costs, signaling sustainable scaling.
   *   **Strategic Focus:** Expansion prioritizes **top 10 high-potential states** guided by delinquency analytics and market data, with final site selection driven by Zonal and Business Heads.
   *   **Profit Contribution:** Non-home loans represent a **disproportionately high share of profits** (35%-40%) due to superior ROA, despite elevated NPAs.
   *   **Customer Retention:** Dedicated **16-member central retention team** leverages data analytics to curb attrition, enhancing lifetime value.

## C. Urban vs Emerging
   *   **Balanced Portfolio:** Geographic diversification limits concentration risk—**no state exceeds 15% of AUM**—supporting stable asset quality.
   *   **Strategic Equilibrium:** Business mix progressing toward **50-50 urban-emerging balance**, with emerging markets currently contributing nearly half of originations.

---

# 6. Credit & Regional Risks

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Geographic Exposure:** **≤15%** of AUM in any single major state
   * **Stressed Market Exposure:** **1.6%-1.7%** of total AUM in Tirupur, Surat, and Coimbatore
   *   **Salaried Borrowers:** **55%** of portfolio

## B. Stressed Markets
   *   **Risk Mitigation via Diversification:** Stable credit costs and improving asset quality supported by geographic diversification, with no dominant regional concentration.
   *   **Declining Stress in Key Clusters:** 1+ DPD levels improved or stabilized in Tirupur, Surat, and Coimbatore, reflecting better collections and resolved local issues.
   *   **Residual Pressure in East & Kerala:** Portfolio stress persists in Eastern states and Kerala due to **inadequate legal infrastructure**, not borrower default behavior.
   *   **Limited Growth in High-Risk Regions:** Incremental expansion curtailed in stressed areas; operations maintained at **flattish levels** to preserve market presence.

## C. Sector Exposure
   *   **Portfolio Resilience:** Majority salaried borrower base (**55%**) enhances repayment stability amid sectoral volatility.
   *   **Underwriting Discipline:** Cautious lending in gems & jewellery, pharma, and textiles temporarily slowed disbursements, but sectoral headwinds are now largely resolved.

---

# 7. Guidance & Outlook

## A. Key Figures
   *   **Disbursement Growth Guidance:** **18%–20%** FY'26 · **20%–22%** Aadhar Housing FY'26
   *   **AUM Growth Guidance:** **20%–22%** FY'26
   *   **Profit Growth Guidance:** **18%–20%** FY'26
   *   **October Performance:** **100%** of budgeted disbursement targets achieved

## B. Strategic Growth & Market Positioning
   *   **Confident Guidance Retention:** Full-year growth outlook maintained across disbursements, AUM, and profit, underpinned by disciplined execution and **strong October performance**.
   *   **Affordable Housing Leadership:** Positioned to capitalize on 'housing for all' mission via **technology-led efficiency** and network expansion in low-income segment.
   *   **Emerging Segment Leverage:** **ABC segment** expected to play a pivotal role in future growth, with minimal competitive pressure.

## C. Macro & Policy Tailwinds
   *   **GST 0 Reform Catalyst:** Rationalized rates on key construction materials to **lower housing costs**, significantly boosting EWS/LIG and rural/semi-urban affordability.
   *   **PMAY & Seasonal Momentum:** Projects under **PMAY and Agnicart 2025** to accelerate execution, supported by festive demand, strong monsoon, and robust GST collections in H2.
   *   **Favorable Macro Backdrop:** Low-income housing sector benefits from sustained government support and **positive Q2 economic trends**, reinforcing growth trajectory.