Key Takeaways
- Record Q2 sales, margin rebound: Sales hit ₹229 crores, up 23% YoY, while consumable PBIT margins reached ~16.5%, among the highest in four to five years, recovering from a disappointing Q1.
- Volume growth is demand-led, not price-led: 80–90% of volume growth came from demand across domestic infra, railways, and shipbuilding, with equipment sales volumes up over 50% in H1 on minimal per-unit price appreciation.
- ONGC order enters the billing window: The project moves into hot billing from December/January through June/July, with management pushing to book ₹70–80 crores in FY24 and targeting 10–11% segment margins after absorbing past-quarter losses.
- BIS compounding order of ₹25 crores is contested: Management calls the order "very, very unfair," has obtained a stay from the high court, and is pursuing resolution through technical committees rather than confrontation.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the ONGC billing ramp actually delivers ₹70–80 crores, whether the 12.8% overall margin proves sustainable as guided, and any progress on the NCLT merger timeline now expected earliest in Q4.
ONGC Project & Project Segment
- Execution timeline: The order is now entering the hot billing phase; 90% of execution is concentrated from January through June/July, with December/January as the inflection point.
- Billing target: Management is pushing very hard to achieve ₹70–80 crores of billing in FY24 within the project segment.
- Margin recovery path: Losses incurred in the past two quarters on this order will get adjusted in subsequent quarters; the segment is being targeted at a 10–11% margin.
- Execution risk: There has been a slight delay due to site, design, and other factors; management expects to catch up during the execution period.
Margin Structure & Sustainability
- Consumable margins at multi-year highs: Q2 consumable PBIT margins of around 16.5% are among the highest in the past four to five years, driven by smart product mix, sourcing advantages from scale, and value selling.
- Equipment margin path: Equipment has room for scale margins to come in but needs to scale up more; product mix improvement is starting to happen, and the automation part of the business is critical but not yet at high enough scale.
- Automation as the margin driver: Automation equipment carries gross margins around 25%, but the business is too small at current scale and therefore hurts overall margins; scaling automation is "definitely the big driver for margins."
- Steel price pass-through: Steel price risk exists but can be passed through within a one-month lag; rate contracts with larger customers are fairly raw-material linked.
- Overall margin commitment: Management's endeavour is to ensure the current 12.8% margin level remains and to keep building on it incrementally.
Malkani: "I think the answer to the double-digit margin lies in our ability to ramp up our automation very fast, very well, and make that a significant contributor, which it can. But it will not happen on a monthly basis. It will not happen on a quarterly basis; this is the only growth. You have to just give us a little time. You will see that coming."
Demand & Volume Drivers
- Domestic demand broad-based: General infra, railways, auto (described as "okay"), shipbuilding, power plants, and cement infrastructure are all contributing to volume growth in the Indian market.
- Equipment volume surge: Equipment sales grew more than 50% in the six-month period, primarily due to volumes and slight product mix, with no major price appreciation on a per-unit basis.
- Export momentum: H1 exports reached about ₹60 crores, already touching almost the full previous-year level.
- Middle East strength: A long presence provides a brand platform, driven by oil and gas capex in Saudi Arabia and UAE with 10-plus years of investment planned; the team is aggressive on projects, approvals, and distribution.
- Americas gestation: In the Americas and Brazil, the Ador brand is not known, requiring a longer gestation cycle of six to eight months for approvals and testing; management sees the potential ahead as "absolutely tremendous, even better than the national market."
- Import competition structural: Competition from imports at the lower end will not change or reduce; the response is to provide good product with a price margin built in over cheap imported alternatives.
Malkani: "If you're going into the Americas, you're going into a Brazil market, the Ador brand isn't known. The Middle East Ador brand is known. So you're going to those markets to get our value that we want. It's a longer period because you have a long gestation cycle because you have to do approvals, testing, you have to do all of those things."
Product & Capacity Developments
- Battery-powered welder: India's first battery-powered welder was launched; the product was ready by September and showcased at the world's largest welding exhibition in Germany; official product launch and readiness is expected around January-February, with strong demand anticipated.
- Flux core wire capacity: The product line is running at 90–95% of capacity; significant capacity is being added in the coming months.
- Overall capacity addition: Adding a couple of units of 6,000–7,000 tons, about 8,000 to 10,000 tons over the next six months.
- Fontech strategy: Not pushing excess top-line growth; focus is on margin improvement through better product mix, taking out commodity range overlap with Ador Welding, and pushing higher-margin products and services.
- High-value consumables: Management states there is "no choice but to be a seriously good player" in high-value consumable items and is trying to grow that segment.
BIS Litigation
- Origin: About two years ago, the company ran afoul of a BIS notification requiring approval for imports; it stopped imports at that time but made the error of agreeing to sell product that had already been imported, which it should not have done.
- Compounding order: BIS issued a compounding order of approximately ₹25 crores, which management believes is "very, very unfair."
- Current status: The company has challenged the order in the high court and obtained a stay; it is working with BIS on technical committees and is not taking a confrontational approach; management is confident "better sense will prevail."
Malkani: "We believe that unfortunately, the BIS was quite unfair in its compounding order to us and give us a compounding order in the region of 25 crores, which we believe is very, very unfair."
Merger & Working Capital
- Merger progress: The merger is still going through the NCLT process; the vote has happened in both companies and went in favour of the amalgamation; the earliest timeline is Q4, but it remains in NCLT hands.
- Working capital improvement: Management is fairly confident that in the next quarter or two quarters, there should be a significant improvement in working capital, though it declined to provide detailing on where exactly the scope lies.
- Synergy quantification declined: When asked for exact G&A or fixed cost benefits from the merger, management declined to give an exact number.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| ONGC billing | Achieve ₹70–80 crores billing in the project segment | FY24 |
| ONGC segment margin | Target 10–11% margin; past-quarter losses adjusted in subsequent quarters | During execution period |
| Overall margin sustainability | Endeavour to sustain 12.8% margin and keep building on it | Ongoing, no endpoint stated |
| Working capital improvement | Significant improvement expected | Next quarter or two quarters |
| Capacity addition | Add 8,000–10,000 tons | Next six months |
| Battery-powered welder launch | Official product launch and readiness | January–February |
| Merger completion | NCLT process; vote passed in both companies | Earliest in Q4 |
| Equipment segment double-digit margin | Ramp up automation to make it a significant contributor | No date; "give us a little time" |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q2 FY24 |
|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹229 cr, highest second quarter sales, +23% QoQ |
| PBT margin (H1 FY24) | 9.8% |
| ROCE | 25% |
| Borrowings (end of H1) | ₹32 cr |
| Debt-to-equity ratio | 0.1% |
| Consumables volume growth | 22% |
| Equipment volume growth | 35% |
| Consumables capacity utilization | 75% to 80% |
| Flux core wire capacity utilization | 90% to 95% |
| Export revenue (H1) | ₹60 cr, touched last year's full-year level |
| Confirmed order pipeline | ₹30 cr to ₹35 cr |
| Bid pipeline | ~₹100 cr beyond confirmed orders |
| ONGC flare order total value | ₹125 cr net of GST |
| ONGC order executed to date | ₹15 cr to ₹16 cr |
| ONGC order balance execution | ~₹110 cr, 80%–90% expected Jan–Jul |
| Consumables PBIT margin (Q2) | ~16.5% |
| Automation share of equipment sales | 10% to 12% |
| Automation gross margin | ~25% [10–11] |
| Consumables revenue mix (standard vs high-end) | 85% standard, 15% high-end |
| Gross margin difference (high-end vs standard consumables) | 3% to 5% |
| Ador Welding distributors | ~180 |
| Ador Fontech quarterly run rate | ₹50 cr to ₹55 cr |
| Ador Fontech expected growth | 10% to 13% |
| Middle East share of export sales | ~80% |
| Merger synergy benefits (cost reduction) | 7% to 10% (per management estimate) |
| BIS compounding order amount | ₹25 cr, under legal challenge; goods value ~₹5–6 cr |
| Equipment segment medium-term margin target | 14% to 15% |
| Division growth projection (next year) | 20% to 25% minimum, maybe 30% to 35% |