Key Takeaways
- Clean slate quarter: Management declared that merger, Uran project losses, and the old Kuwait receivable are all behind the company, removing the overhangs that had held the stock back.
- Margin expansion path laid out: Another 100–200 bps of EBITDA margin improvement is feasible over coming quarters, driven by mix, operating leverage, and the end of process-equipment losses.
- Automation order book at a record: The welding automation business has its best-ever order book, supported by new Made-in-India robotic products and a partnership with Miller for high-end equipment.
- Top-line ambition intact but macro-dependent: The FY29 goal of doubling revenue to ₹2,000 crores (25% CAGR) remains the internal principle, though management concedes the base economy makes it hard to deliver that growth level right now.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the 100 bps EBITDA margin improvement begins to materialize, the pace of new product approvals converting to revenue, and any firm order inflow from the shipbuilding approvals already secured.
The Overhang Cleanup
- Uran project: Now 96–97% complete with all accounting and forecasted losses fully provided for. The final commissioning delay is due to a gas issue and other external factors, but no major exposures remain.
- Process equipment restructuring: The Flares and Process Equipment division has been dissolved as a separate segment and is now managed as a product line targeting ~₹20–30 crores in revenue. Management stated it will not chase large-scale projects where it cannot see profitability.
- Kuwait recovery: A ₹14 crores recovery from a 2020–2021 Kuwait project was booked this quarter and shown as a separate line item to distinguish it from current operations.
- No further losses: Effective 31st March, decisions were taken to ensure the process equipment product line does not generate losses going forward. The ₹3 crores reported in the segment this quarter was a gain from an ONGC reorder, not a loss.
Malkani: "There is no further negative left. We took the biggest hit we did in Q1 and we are working towards recovery on what we can. That was the very clear principle."
Margin & Profitability Path
- EBITDA margin trajectory: Management sees feasibility for 100 bps improvement at the EBITDA level, part coming from gross margins, achievable over the next few quarters provided there are no severe supply chain shocks.
- Longer-term ambition: On a similar trajectory, another 100–200 bps improvement is possible over coming periods, though not immediate.
- Mix shift not a margin threat: As automation grows, the consumables vs equipment mix will shift, but the base is tiny and management is not stressed about the margin impact. The priority is to grow that side faster.
- Gross margin levers: Concrete steps underway to improve product mix: identifying new end-user segments like renewables, securing approvals (e.g., nuclear), and adding capex in specific products like fluxes.
Malkani: "Within us internally, we see it as a feasibility, let us put it that way."
Automation & Product Portfolio Build-out
- Miller/ITW partnership: A tie-up with Miller (an ITW group company) for high-end submerged arc welding equipment targeting thermal, structural, and shipbuilding industries. This plugs product gaps that existed by virtue of not being an MNC.
- Made-in-India robotics: The company strengthened its portfolio with locally made products for the robotic line, including CNC bevel, laser cutting, and cobots, and has received some orders.
- Record automation order book: Management stated the current order book for welding automation is the best it has ever seen, though there remains a lot of scope and work left.
- Battery welding equipment: The company developed its first battery-powered welding equipment, which was recognized by CII among the top 100 innovative companies in India.
- Product gap closure: Over the last 12 months, the team has plugged several interesting gaps. Some gaps remain in certain sectors, but a lot of low-hanging fruit is coming into place.
- Automation adoption tailwind: Across India, companies from A-class to SMEs are looking at automation more seriously due to skilled manpower availability, creating a favorable demand environment.
Demand Environment & End-Market Signals
- Overall demand: From November–December onwards, demand has been fairly okay. Customers are cautious due to inflationary impacts, but demand could have been worse given the macroeconomic circumstances.
- Industry clientele: Green shoots visible in shipbuilding, structural, and wind (though not big yet). Automotive is picking up. Thermal work is coming, and oil & gas pipeline work is ongoing. Nothing exorbitant, but the next 12–18 months are expected to be a bit better.
- Steel cycle: Steel is going through an interesting phase with inflationary impact and demand restrictions; it is a little challenging but manageable. Steel is on a brighter stage than anything else right now.
- Export demand: Middle East demand remains good despite the regional situation; the issue in March was dispatch logistics, not demand. Pent-up dispatches were mostly cleaned up by quarter-end.
- Saudi Arabia: The company is well set up with sales, distribution, and approvals. Saudi was the second-largest export market two years ago, slipped to third last year. The inquiry and order pipeline has been healthier from December onwards compared to calendar year 2025.
- US and Europe traction: Despite US tariff issues, the last two months have seen a lot more traction. Interest is emerging after the Europe FTA, though the distribution model needs to be built correctly.
Shipbuilding & New Segment Opportunities
- Approvals secured: The company has approximately 75–80% of approvals in place for shipbuilding yards, a big focus area where it is spending time, effort, and resources across consumables, equipment, and automation.
- Revenue potential: Current revenue from shipbuilding is still small compared to the available pie. The opportunity to grow from the base is quite high through natural organic growth, filling pockets where products exist but the company is not yet present, and leveraging approvals.
- Timeline: Management expects shipbuilding construction may begin after about a year.
- Wind and renewables: The company is entering segments where it was not product-wise strong, such as wind manufacturing. Approvals and testing are in place, and the benefit is expected to be quite large over the next 1–2 years.
- Nuclear approvals: Products with nuclear approvals have been added for consumables, opening a niche, high-barrier segment.
- Revenue mix: The company focuses on its top 7–8 key industries but does not share detailed revenue mix externally. Heavy engineering and structural fabrication remain the primary drivers.
Growth Strategy & Capital Allocation
- Revenue aspiration: The internal principle remains to double the top line to ₹2,000 crores by FY29, a 25% CAGR, with the main driver being a tripling of earnings over that period. Management acknowledges the base economy makes that growth level hard to deliver right now.
- Welding revenue nearer-term: ₹1,500–₹1,600 crores by FY28 is definitely feasible, but the ground macroeconomy must support it. The company is investing and driving accordingly.
- Capex plan: ₹30–35 crores for FY27, could stretch to ₹40 crores at most over each of the next two years, primarily on welding consumables. To double volume in 5–7 years, total capex of ₹100–150 crores (plant, machinery, capability, excluding land) would be needed.
- Acquisitions: Open to acquisitions, more targeted now. The focus is more dependent on technology than market share, though both will be explored. Partnerships and being more aggressive on acquisitions are part of the thinking to bridge the gap to the 25% CAGR vision.
- Adjacencies: Exploring opportunities related to fabrication, joining, or cutting of steel, but it is too early to discuss specifics. Nothing at the moment that stretches much beyond the current business or requires a large-ticket investment.
- No formal guidance: Management repeatedly declined to provide quantified revenue forecasts, stating it does not give guidance and that supply chain shocks and lack of clarity make forecasting tough.
Malkani: "I think we have been waiting for this time for the last, I would say almost two, two and a half years at least to be standing back on solid ground with a lot of big-ticket stuff, big-ticket problems behind us."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA margin improvement | 100 bps improvement, part from gross margins | Over the next few quarters, barring severe supply chain shocks |
| Further margin expansion | Another 100–200 bps improvement | Over coming periods, not immediate |
| Process equipment profitability | No further losses; break even on ~₹20 cr order book | Effective Q1 FY27 onwards |
| Capex | ₹30–35 cr (up to ₹40 cr max) | FY27 and FY28 each year |
| Revenue aspiration | Double top line to ₹2,000 cr; triple earnings | By FY29 |
| Welding revenue | ₹1,500–₹1,600 cr | By FY28, if macroeconomy supports |
| Shipbuilding construction start | Construction activity to begin | After about a year |
| New segment benefits (wind, etc.) | Benefit to be quite large | Over next 1–2 years |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Revenue (standalone, Q4) | ~3% YoY growth |
| Revenue (standalone, FY26) | ~2% YoY growth, to ~₹1,135 cr |
| Welding revenue (FY26) | ~₹1,070 cr |
| India revenue share | ~80%+ of total sales |
| Gross margin (Q4) | ~36% |
| Gross margin (FY26) | ~38%, up ~250 bps YoY |
| EBITDA (Q4) | ~₹38 cr, up 200 bps YoY |
| EBITDA margin (Q4 and Q3, adjusted) | ~12% |
| PBT (Q4, excl. Kuwait recovery and exceptionals) | ~₹39 cr |
| PBT (FY26, excl. onerous cost of Uran project) | ~₹130 cr |
| Return on capital employed (operational EBITDA) | ~12% |
| Return on capital employed | ~23% |
| Kuwait project recovery | ₹14 cr gain, booked in FY26 |
| Process Equipment segment full-year hit (Uran) | ~₹25 cr (₹28 cr in Q1, ₹3 cr gain in Q4) |
| Capacity utilization (welding) | ~70%, with some lines at 90–95% |
| Exports (FY26) | ~flattish YoY, vs ~₹154 cr in FY25 |
| Market share (domestic) | ~17–18% |
| Capex plan (FY27) | ₹30–35 cr, could stretch to ₹40 cr; maintenance capex ₹10–12 cr |
| Capex to double volume (5–7 years) | ₹100–150 cr (plant, machinery, capability; excludes land) |
| Income tax demand | ₹14 cr, appeal filed |
| Sales through distribution | 80–85% of welding business |
| Uran project completion | ~96–97% |