Key Takeaways
- Record volumes, margin squeeze: Q4 OHT volumes hit an all-time high of 85,820 MT, but EBITDA margin slipped to 22.9% as raw material costs and freight headwinds bit late in the quarter.
- A multi-year capex cycle is now locked in: The board approved an additional ₹2,000 cr, taking the total outlay to ₹6,800 cr through FY29, funding capacity for carbon black, CVR, PCR and 2-wheeler tyres.
- The on-highway pivot is moving from plan to product: Truck bus radial tyres launched in February, PCR tyres slated for end-CY26, and a Ranveer Singh campaign is now in market, but revenue impact stays immaterial near term.
- US tariff refund is filed, not received: The company is importer on record and has claimed a refund of reciprocal tariffs; management intends to pass a portion back to customers but has no visibility on timing or quantum.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the ~2% price hike lands in late May, how much of the raw material uptick it absorbs, and any early signal on the US volume push back toward 10%.
Volume & Demand Environment
- OHT volumes at a record: Q4 delivered 85,820 MT, the highest quarterly print ever, and FY26 closed at 317,356 MT, also an annual record, with H2 significantly stronger than H1.
- Europe recovered in H2: Channel inventory easing drove the pickup, though management calls the demand outlook too volatile to guide and is simply geared to support the market and gain share.
- Americas traction improving: Higher channel activity and a sharper go-to-market strategy are in place; the stated ambition is to take the US back to 10% of volume in FY27, from just short of that level in FY26.
- India outperforming, with a weather caveat: India continues to outpace all other markets and momentum is sustained, but management is only cautiously optimistic given the IMD monsoon forecast.
- Channel inventory is normal: No destocking tailwind is visible; current levels are described as normal.
Poddar: "So we stopped giving guidance due to the geopolitical scenarios and uncertainties. But we are, of course, expecting growth, but we don't give guidance on that."
Margin Walk & Cost Headwinds
- Raw material prices rose 4–5% in Q4: Supply chain disruptions drove the uptick, and the company is using price hikes to partially offset the impact.
- Freight costs are sticky at ~4.5–5% of revenue: Management expects a marginal increase from here, absent further disruption.
- Other expenses rose on production volume, not leakage: The increase reflects conversion costs tied to the highest-ever quarterly production, not a structural step-up.
- Product mix is the margin lever: The company is shifting toward high-end radialised products and specialised IF/VF technology products to support margins.
- Near-term margin pressure acknowledged: Raw material cost pressures are expected to persist; management is evaluating how much can be passed on and warns of possible price and margin pressure.
- The medium-term target is 23–25% EBITDA: Management is holding to that sustained range for the company as a whole.
Poddar: "That is, the company as a whole, yes, it is. That is we are yet maintaining our position."
Capex & Capacity Build-Out
- Total capex commitment now ₹6,800 cr through FY29: This includes the newly approved ₹2,000 cr for capacity expansion, AI-enabled automation and sustainability initiatives, staggered over the next few years.
- FY27 capex guided at ₹1,500–1,800 cr: Funding will be a mix of debt and equity, with the structure still being worked out.
- Carbon black capacity stepping up: A new line commissioned in December 2025 is at full utilisation, taking capacity to 265,000 MTPA; the balance capacity is targeted to come on stream in Q1 FY27, reaching 360,000 MTPA.
- Phase 1 of the CVR tyre project is complete: ₹750 cr spent, adding fungible capacity of 800 tyres per day for CVR and OHT; Phase 2 is scheduled to launch in FY27.
- Captive power expanded: Bhuj plant capacity increased to 64 MW in February 2026.
Poddar: "We can't assume anything. It's a volatile world. It's a moving world. Projects are being announced. So we can't assume anything."
On-Highway & New Product Segments
- Truck bus radial tyres launched in February 2026: This marks the company's entry into the segment; revenue impact will be very insignificant in Q1 FY27 and will start gaining prominence thereafter.
- PCR tyres targeted for end-CY26: The launch will follow a phased and calibrated approach, with premium positioning at par with market leaders and no discounting.
- 2-wheeler tyres re-launched: Select products are aimed at the domestic market; capacity will scale with market response, and outsourcing is not seen as a limiting factor.
- Distribution network is being built now: On-highway products were placed in the market starting April 2026; primary distribution is nearly complete and dealerships will be added as sales ramp up.
- Brand repositioning underway: Corporate and regular lines have been differentiated, "Tyres and Carbon" added to product branding, and a campaign titled "Elevate Your Drive" launched with Ranveer Singh.
- The ₹5,000 cr on-highway revenue vision by 2030 stands: Management is holding to that position; the five-year revenue CAGR of 17% stated in the presentation is expected to show jumps closer to the second part of that vision as projects and capacities come on board.
Sharma: "Our price positioning is at par with the market leaders."
US Tariffs & Trade
- Refund filed, nothing received: The company is the importer on record in the US and has filed for a refund of reciprocal tariffs, but no amount has been received yet.
- Pass-through commitment made: As a matter of fair practice, part of any refund will be passed back to customers.
- Quantum not disclosed: Management did not have the refund amount handy when asked.
Carbon Black & Specialty Business
- Carbon black revenue grew marginally YoY in FY26: The new line commissioned in December 2025 is at full utilisation, supported by both internal consumption and third-party sales.
- Specialty carbon black approvals secured: Select grades have been approved across plastics, pressure pipes, power cables and inks.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Carbon black capacity expansion | Balance capacity on stream, taking total to 360,000 MTPA | Q1 FY27 |
| Price hike | ~2% increase targeted | End of May |
| US volume ambition | Return to 10% of total volume | FY27 |
| Phase 2 CVR tyre project | Launch | FY27 |
| PCR tyre project | Launch | FY27 |
| PCR tyre introduction | End of calendar year | 2026 |
| FY27 capex | ₹1,500–1,800 cr | FY27 |
| Total capex outlay | ₹6,800 cr | Through FY29 |
| On-highway revenue vision | ₹5,000 cr | By 2030 |
| Sustained EBITDA margin | 23% to 25% | Medium term |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Standalone revenue | ₹2,894 cr, +2% YoY; includes realized FX loss of ₹47 cr |
| Standalone EBITDA | ₹663 cr, margin 22.9%; impacted by geopolitical headwinds late in the quarter |
| Profit after tax | ₹295 cr |
| OHT sales volume | 85,820 metric tons, +5% YoY; highest ever quarterly volumes |
| FY26 standalone revenue | ₹10,656 cr, flattish YoY; includes realized FX loss of ₹164 cr |
| FY26 standalone EBITDA | ₹2,423 cr, -10% YoY; margin 22.7% |
| FY26 PAT | ₹1,222 cr |
| FY26 capex spend | ~₹2,800 cr |
| Net debt | ₹895 cr (gross debt ₹4,049 cr, cash ₹3,154 cr) as of 31st March |
| Final dividend | ₹4 per equity share, in addition to ₹12 paid for previous 3 quarters |
| Price hikes taken | 3% to 5% across various geographies; targeting ~2% more towards end of May |
| Raw material price increase | ~4% to 5% in Q4; expected to go up ~7% to 8% more in Q1 FY27 |
| Freight cost | ~4.5% to 5% of revenue; expected to go up marginally |
| EUR/INR realization | ~₹99 for Q4 |
| US volume contribution | Just short of 10% in FY26 |
| Carbon black third-party sales | ~9% of overall business in FY26 |
| Carbon black capacity | 265,000 MTPA after new line commissioned Dec '25; captive consumption 30%, external sales 70% |
| Captive power plant capacity | 64 MW at Bhuj, increased from 40 MW in Feb '26 |
| TBR Phase 1 capacity | 800 tyres per day (fungible for CVR and OHT); ultimate capacity ~3,800 tyres per day |
| PCR first phase capacity | 6,700 tyres per day, expected around end of calendar year 2026 |
| 2-wheeler tyre capacity | ~100,000 tyres per month |
| On-highway primary distributors | About 90 |
| FY27 capex guidance | ₹1,500 cr to ₹1,800 cr |
| Overall capex plan till FY29 | ₹6,800 cr (₹3,000 cr already spent, ₹3,800 cr remaining) |
| Maintenance capex | ~₹200 cr per year, extra to project capex |
| S&P Global CSA score | 58 in FY25, improved |