Key Takeaways
- Distillery drives the quarter, edible oil exits: Ethanol volumes doubled YoY, pushing distillery revenue to ₹357 crores, while the company announced a phased exit from edible oils to focus on higher-margin distillery and biodiesel.
- New capacity online, more coming: A 100 KLPD ethanol plant commissioned at Kharagpur, taking total capacity to 700 KLPD, with a further 150 KLPD expansion and a 75 KLPD biodiesel plant under execution.
- Raw material advantage is real but seasonal: Robust maize harvest from Bihar boosted ethanol margins this quarter, though management flagged the current period as a seasonal stress window until the next harvest in September.
- Balance sheet reset underway: A ₹90 crore working capital reduction is targeted from the edible oil exit, with proceeds from real estate sales also directed to debt repayment, aiming for a debt-free status at the earliest.
- What to watch next quarter: Capacity utilization at the new Kharagpur plant, the trajectory of maize prices post-September harvest, and any concrete update on the 150 KLPD ethanol expansion permission.
Distillery Segment: Volume Surge & Margin Dynamics
- Ethanol volumes doubled: Ethanol production reached 50,000 KL, up 154% YoY in revenue terms, driven by the new Kharagpur capacity and robust operations.
- ENA volumes reset seasonally: ENA volumes fell 40% YoY to 5,830 KL because Q1 coincides with new state excise policies, forcing bottlers to secure fresh permissions and resetting demand temporarily. Recovery is expected in coming quarters.
- Maize sourcing shaped margins: Strong maize harvest from Bihar improved ethanol margins this quarter, but the benefit was location-specific. Bathinda EBIT margins lagged because freight from Bihar to Punjab is significantly higher than to West Bengal, a dynamic that reverses when Rajasthan crop becomes available.
- Byproduct realization supports unit economics: High byproduct realization of ₹13+ per liter is explained by DDGS yield of 0.8 kg per liter of ethanol at a selling price of ₹11.5 per kg, plus CO2 sales.
Mittal: "This current period where we're sitting in is usually a stress period, where there is no harvest. But by September there should be harvest in MP and Rajasthan. So let's see how that plays out."
Strategic Pivot: Exiting Edible Oils, Entering Biodiesel
- Edible oil business to shut this financial year: The company has stopped taking forward positions and is doing only current buying and selling, planning for this to be the last year of operation. Post-shutdown, machinery will be capped and the 26-acre prime land will be monetized, though management noted a slowdown in Tier 2 and Tier 3 city real estate.
- Biodiesel plant is the next leg: A 75 KLPD biodiesel plant at Bathinda has all statutory clearances, major orders finalized, and civil work underway. Commissioning is targeted for April of the next calendar year, though management cautioned it could slip by 1-2 months as it is a first-of-its-kind project for the company.
- Revenue mix transformation ahead: Next financial year, the company will have two primary segments: distillery at approximately ₹1,750 crores and biodiesel at a conservative ₹125 crores. Overall revenue will see some decrease from the edible oil exit, but overall EBITDA margin for the company will improve significantly.
- No third location planned: Further capacity enhancement will happen only at the existing Kharagpur and Bathinda sites, with a stated goal to make both units "bulletproof" through value addition and capacity expansion.
Mittal: "We don't want to go to a third place. Instead, we want to ensure that these 2 units are what I'd like to call bulletproof and can survive any cycle."
Raw Material Strategy & Policy Environment
- Maize is the primary feedstock, with structural tailwinds: Maize area under cultivation is increasing, and management hopes that in 18 months to 2 years, maize will become a big crop in the country. Wet maize procurement of 18,000 metric tons this year covered about 15 days of raw material.
- FCI rice remains an industry hope, not a plan: The industry has made representations for FCI to release surplus rice to distillers, which would help cool the maize market. Management noted that last year's harvest is still lying with millers who have suffered losses, and with the new harvest approaching, FCI's stock management is uncertain. No solid updates exist.
- GM maize is a policy question, not a company one: When asked about genetically modified maize as input, management called it a political issue and deferred to policymakers.
- Ethanol blending in diesel is on the horizon: The government is planning ethanol blending in diesel, which would make India the first country to do so. Nitty-gritty details are not yet decided, and the initiative is still in the trial phase. Management believes both biodiesel and ethanol blending could coexist.
Mittal: "I believe India will be the first country to do so. And even the nitty-gritty on it, I don't know if it's been decided yet."
Balance Sheet & Cash Flow
- Cash flow temporarily strained by ethanol receivables: Cash flow from operations declined because combined units have approximately ₹90-100 crores lying with OMCs as receivables, and starting new capacity requires sending more materials. This is expected to improve.
- Working capital reduction is a defined target: The company will reduce its working capital limit by ₹90 crores upon closing the edible oil business, with completion targeted by the end of this financial year.
- Finance costs to decline, with a lag: Total finance costs are expected to decrease from current levels, though interest subvention money from NABARD carries a 1-2 quarter delay, and working capital utilization fluctuates between 35% and 70%.
- Debt-free ambition stated: Management envisions becoming debt-free at the earliest, though they would like to take interest subvention to maturity. If profitability remains strong and capex is limited, debt retirement will accelerate.
Capacity Expansion & Inorganic Opportunities
- 150 KLPD ethanol expansion in final permission stages: An update is expected very soon, which would take total ethanol capacity toward the stated 850 KLPD target over the next year.
- Paddy straw power plant adds cost efficiency: A new paddy straw-based power plant is included in the FY25 capex plan. At Bathinda, about 60% of the 100-ton steam requirement is met by paddy straw at 100% capacity utilization, producing more steam than required for power.
- Inorganic growth opportunities are visible: Management noted that opportunities currently exist because many inexperienced players who entered the industry are now unhappy, though no specific deals were discussed.
Mittal: "Opportunities are -- not even in the future, currently they are there for inorganic growth because of a lot of people who were not experienced in the industry decided to venture in the industry and now are not so happy."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| New Kharagpur plant utilization | 100 KLPD plant to meet capacity utilization | Current quarter |
| Biodiesel plant commissioning | 75 KLPD plant at Bathinda | April of next calendar year, possible 1-2 month slip |
| Ethanol capacity expansion | Increase to 850 KLPD | Over the next year |
| Distillery segment revenue | Approximately ₹1,750 crores top line | Next financial year |
| Edible oil business exit | Operations cease, machinery capped, land monetized | This financial year |
| Working capital reduction | ₹90 crore reduction from edible oil exit | By end of this financial year |
| Biodiesel revenue contribution | Approximately ₹125 crores (conservative) | Next financial year |
| Overall EBITDA margin | Significant improvement vs. current | Next financial year (post edible oil exit) |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q1 FY25 |
|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹660 cr, 47.3% increase YoY |
| EBITDA | ₹57 cr, EBITDA margin 8.48%, up 36% YoY |
| PAT | ₹25 cr, versus ₹20 cr in Q1 FY24, PAT margin 3.79% |
| Distillery segment EBITDA | ₹50 cr, 35.1% increase YoY |
| Ethanol revenue | ₹357 cr, 154% increase YoY |
| ENA revenue | ₹40 cr |
| Ethanol volumes | 50,000 KL, doubled YoY |
| ENA volumes | 5,830 KL, 40.38% decrease YoY |
| Total distillery capacity | 700 KLPD, after commissioning 100 KLPD plant at Svaksha |
| IMIL boxes sold | 3,93,596 boxes |
| Average maize raw material price | ₹23 per kg in Q1, increased by ₹2 to ₹25 currently |
| DDGS selling price | ₹11.5 per kg for maize-based DDGS |
| ENA price | ₹68–₹69 currently |
| OMC receivables | ₹90–100 cr on average |
| Capex forecast for FY25 | ₹140 cr required, ₹90 cr via debt, rest from internal accruals |