Key Takeaways
- Resilient bakery, disrupted exports: Bakery delivered its highest-ever quarterly revenue of ₹183 crores (+19% YoY), while biscuit exports grew just 3% as US tariff uncertainty and geopolitical disruptions delayed orders.
- Margins compressed, recovery promised: EBITDA margin fell on commodity costs and a low-export mix; management targets a return to ~14% by Q2 as price hikes flow through and input prices stabilize.
- Capacity build-out is accelerating: A new Dhar biscuit plant began operations in May, with full commercial production in Q2; bakery plants in Kolkata and Maharashtra are on track for Q3 and year-end, respectively.
- Health and premiumization are the growth bets: The Nature Bake clean-label brand launched, existing products are being re-engineered for health, and quick commerce is lifting the premium mix.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the promised margin recovery to 14% materializes, the pace of domestic biscuit growth toward double digits, and any resolution on US export tariffs.
Bakery: The Standout Performer
- Record quarter, volume-led: Revenue hit ₹183 crores, with 65% of growth coming from volume and the balance from value and premiumization.
- Quick commerce advantage: Early-mover leadership on quick commerce is lifting the premium mix, as listings on these platforms skew toward higher-value products.
- Geographic expansion: Distribution has extended into Punjab and the upper North, while UP, Haryana, Rajasthan, and Bombay continue as growth engines with increasing trajectory.
- Health-first pivot: Most breads are now made with no maida and no palm oil; the new Nature Bake brand extends this to a clean-label promise of no maida, no palm oil, no added colors, and no preservatives.
- Product strategy is re-engineering, not proliferation: Growth is coming largely through existing products made healthier rather than new launches, though Nature Bake will scale with more offerings.
Ishaan Bector: "We have also noticed that a lot of trend has gone towards the health segment. So, we were again one of the early movers into catching this health segment."
Exports: Tariff Uncertainty Weighs
- Muted growth, US-driven: Biscuit exports grew only 3% YoY, with the US business particularly impacted by tariff volatility that disrupted order phasing.
- Tariff escalation path: The US moved from 25% to 50% tariffs; stocks were in transit and the company is supplying all orders as they come, but is waiting for customers to respond on shipping documents.
- Margin drag from mix: The low-export revenue mix further pressured EBITDA margins this quarter.
- Resolution timeline: Management is hopeful that by end of August, clarity will emerge from customer engagements.
- Other markets stable: Outside the US, all export markets stand normal with no concerns.
Domestic Biscuits: Building Toward Double Digits
- Growth trajectory improving: Domestic biscuit growth was high single digits YoY in Q1, with sequential improvement quarter-on-quarter from Q3 last year through Q4 to Q1.
- Pricing now stabilized: All price actions have been factored in and end pricing has stabilized, supporting the improving growth trend.
- Two-quarter ramp target: Management is targeting a build-up to a double-digit run rate over the next two quarters, aiming for sustained double-digit growth by Q4 and into next financial year.
- Competitive intensity persists: Competition has remained high for 18 months; the company is leaning on distribution execution, e-commerce focus, and differentiated products to hold ground.
Manu Talwar: "We are definitely targeting, right, that we should be able to build up in the next two quarters and get to a run rate of a double digit growth over the next 2 quarters' time."
Margins: Compressed Now, Recovery Expected
- Commodity cost shock: Steep price increases in cocoa, palm oil, and maida from December onwards drove margin compression; these prices are now stabilizing, though still elevated.
- Gradual price pass-through: Price increases on domestic biscuits were taken gradually, with the full impact visible only in Q2; on exports, the full cost could not be passed on due to logistic cost pressure and local benchmark products.
- Recovery levers identified: Three drivers: revenue growth bringing fixed-cost leverage, gross margin improvement as price hikes flow through, and a cost-improvement program called "Impact."
- 14% target by Q2: Management expressed confidence in returning to EBITDA margins close to 14% from Q2 onwards, with an endeavor to improve from there.
- Long-term margin philosophy: The company will equi-focus on revenue growth and margin growth, strengthening EBITDA margins alongside revenues, but declined to commit to a 15-16% range for FY27-28, citing the need to invest behind growth.
Manu Talwar: "I won't quote the number on that because we also need to invest behind our growth. But yes, we will continue to build our margins in the next financial year."
Capacity & Brand: Building the Platform
- Dhar biscuit plant live: Commenced operations in May, now stabilizing; full-scale commercial production targeted for Q2, with capability for differentiated products.
- Bakery capacity expanding: Kolkata plant to be commissioned in Q3, enabling entry into the East market; Maharashtra facility toward the end of the financial year, with Mumbai as a priority market.
- Cremica brand under evaluation: The company will start using the Cremica brand in one segment this quarter, but is investing 4-6 months in brand research before making long-term decisions on where Cremica fits, including whether to use it on the bread side.
- Digitization push: Botree DMS rolled out to almost 600 distributors for better secondary management, scheme management, and inventory visibility; digitization initiatives deployed across 50% of plants.
- Brand ambassador in the works: The company is in the process of evaluating a brand ambassador.
Manu Talwar: "whether to use this brand on the Bread side or not, it's something we are investing in the research on the brand and the brand way forward, which will take about four to five months' time. And while we take a decision, because these are very serious long-term decisions, right?"
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic biscuit growth | Build from high single digits to double-digit run rate, then sustained double digits | Next 2 quarters for run rate; Q4 FY26 for sustained |
| EBITDA margin recovery | Return to close to 14% | Q2 FY26 |
| US export tariff clarity | Hopeful of resolution through customer engagement | End of August |
| Dhar biscuit facility | Full-scale commercial production | Q2 FY26 |
| Kolkata bakery plant | Commissioning and entry into East market | Q3 FY26 |
| Maharashtra bakery facility | First phase commissioning | End of FY26 |
| Cremica brand research | Investment in brand and way-forward research | 4-6 months |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q1 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Revenue from operations | ₹473 cr, +7.6% YoY |
| EBITDA | ₹58.2 cr |
| EBITDA margin | 12.3%, impacted by business mix and commodity prices; target to return to ~14% from Q2 |
| PAT | ₹30.9 cr |
| PAT margin | 6.5% |
| Biscuits segment revenue | ₹281 cr, +3% YoY; +26% over Q1 FY24 |
| Bakery segment revenue | ₹183 cr, +19% YoY; +35% over Q1 FY24; highest-ever quarterly performance |
| Bakery volume growth | ~65% of segment growth volume-led, balance value |
| Domestic biscuits channel mix | General trade >70%, modern trade + e-commerce combined ~9-10% |
| Bakery modern trade & e-commerce contribution | ~30% of Bakery revenue |
| US exposure | ~5-6% of overall revenue, ~20% of export biscuit revenue |
| Biscuit market share (North India) | >4% |
| Cremica preferred outlets (GT channel) | >15% of GT channel revenue |
| Dhar biscuit facility | Commissioned May 2025, full-scale commercial production targeted for Q2 |
| Kolkata bakery facility | Commissioning in Q3 FY26 |
| Maharashtra bakery facility | Commissioning towards end of FY26 |