Key Takeaways
- Gold Loan powers 80% YoY growth, branch engine still revving: Gold Loan AUM surged 80% YoY on 68 new South India branches, with existing branches still expected to deliver 30%+ growth.
- Spread improves even as leverage dilutes NIM: Spread rose 10 bps to 7.0% while NIM fell to 9.1%; management guides spread to 7.2% next quarter on rising Gold Loan mix and falling cost of funds.
- Technology is the margin story: Disbursements up 87% YoY against just 19% headcount growth, driven by an AI-native operating model that compresses turnaround times and holds the cost-to-income ratio to 51.6%.
- CEO resigns within four months: The newly appointed CEO left to pursue a fin-tech entrepreneurial opportunity; management states adequate vertical-level leadership exists and impact will be limited.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether Gold Loan yield improves the promised 20-25 bps, whether MSME Uttar Pradesh branches hit the ₹20 crores monthly disbursement run rate by March, and any signal on the RBI branch expansion approval timeline.
Gold Loan: The Growth Engine
- Branch-led expansion into new geographies: 68 net new branches across Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Karnataka drove the 80% YoY AUM jump, with branch productivity rising to ₹14.1 crores AUM per branch.
- Productivity runway remains long: Many branches are still below ₹10 crores AUM while some have reached ₹25 crores, giving management confidence that existing branches can sustain 30%+ growth without new openings.
- Yield compression is strategic, not structural: Yield declined QoQ because the mix shifted toward smaller-ticket rural loans where harvesting-cycle cash flows let customers stay in lowest-ROI rebate brackets; management expects 20-25 bps improvement going forward.
- Market shift from informal to formal continues: Even with gold price corrections, the large informal segment (money lenders, jewellery shops) keeps migrating to organized NBFCs on fair practice and better rates, supporting decent growth independent of price moves.
- Granularity insulates against gold price risk: Ticket sizes are small and diversified enough that gold price corrections pose no real recovery risk, especially since gold remains in the company's custody throughout the loan.
Sharma: "So, there exists a good scope that these branches will continue to deliver a 30% plus growth."
Spread, NIM & Cost of Funds
- Spread is the relevant metric, not NIM: Spread improved 10 bps QoQ to 7.0% while NIM fell to 9.1% because higher leverage mechanically compresses net interest; management guides 7.2% spread in Q4.
- Cost of funds fell 24 bps QoQ: Driven by MCLR reduction, effective repricing of existing liabilities, and banks lowering risk spreads due to the internal rating model. Further diversification into commercial paper and short-term NCDs added lower-cost borrowing.
- Another 24-25 bps reduction expected in 3-6 months: This projection excludes any rating upgrade benefit; a rating upgrade takes 6-9 months to flow through P&L because existing borrowing resets only at the reset date.
- Gold Loan yield expected to stabilize around 18%: The QoQ decline was tied to rural small-ticket mix and rebate schemes; improvement of 20-25 bps is expected as the retail Gold Loan focus deepens and branches scale.
MSME, Housing & Construction Finance
- MSME grew 19% YoY, Uttar Pradesh branches scaling: 16 branches opened in Q2 FY26 now run at ₹9.5 crores monthly disbursement; management expects this to cross ₹20 crores per month by March. New operations commenced in Mumbai, Pune and Delhi to diversify customer risk.
- Micro LAP gains traction with strong asset quality: AUM reached ₹650 crores across 151 branches (14 added in Q3), with 99% collection efficiency and 0.9% GNPA. Technology tools reject bad customers at sourcing.
- Housing AUM grew 40% YoY on affordable demand: Resilient demand driven by rising income levels and lower interest rates; 18 net new branches expanded presence into Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka.
- Construction Finance grew 37% YoY with disciplined underwriting: 279 active residential projects funded, focused on mid-sized and small developers in metro and Tier 1 cities with escrow-based cash flow management keeping the book granular and geographically diversified.
Asset Quality & Operating Leverage
- Impairment cost declined, Stage 3 ratios improved: Impairment cost fell to ₹23 crores from ₹31 crores QoQ. Gross Stage 3 ratio down 10 bps to 1.2%, net Stage 3 down 7 bps to 0.7%. Provision coverage ratio on Stage 3 loans improved to 43.6%.
- Cost-to-income ratio improved sharply to 51.6% from 58.2% YoY: Maturing branch network, rising productivity, and strong operating leverage drove the improvement even as opex rose 15% QoQ on 869 net employee additions and higher incentive pay tied to disbursement growth.
- Technology delivers disproportionate scale: Disbursements rose 87% YoY while headcount grew only 19%, enabled by AI-native tools across onboarding, underwriting, processing and collections. Gold Loan turnaround time is under 30 minutes; preapproved top-up loans disburse in 60 seconds.
Sharma: "If we can say that our -- while number of branches have gone up significantly, AUM have been doubled, our manpower have -- headcount have increased only by a marginal 19% of that. So our focus is going to become how we become operationally very, very efficient by using all these tech and data science tools."
Non-Interest Income & Insurance
- Non-interest income grew 124% YoY to ₹240 crores, now 32% of net total income: Driven by co-lending fee income of ₹116 crores and insurance distribution commissions of ₹34 crores.
- Capri Care insurance ecosystem upgraded: Fully digital end-to-end platform with instant real-time policy issuance; product portfolio expanded beyond financial indemnity to wellness-led offerings including annual health screening and cashless consultation.
- Co-lending capped at 22-23% of book: Management does not intend to grow co-lending further from this level, keeping the off-balance-sheet share stable.
CEO Resignation & Leadership
- CEO resigned within four months of appointment: Mr. Monu, based in Delhi, reconsidered the move to Mumbai and chose to pursue a fin-tech entrepreneurial opportunity instead. He did not bring any team members with him.
- Management downplays impact: States adequate professional depth exists in each vertical and the resignation will not have much effect. No interim or successor announcement was made on the call.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Spread improvement | Spread to reach 7.2% | Q4 FY26 |
| Gold Loan yield improvement | 20-25 bps improvement from current levels | Going forward |
| Cost of funds reduction | Another 24-25 bps reduction (excluding rating upgrade benefit) | Next 3-6 months |
| MSME Uttar Pradesh disbursement run rate | Cross ₹20 crores per month | By March |
| Gold Loan branch expansion | Approach RBI for approval; branches added last quarter to stabilize for at least 6 months first | Second half of FY27, subject to approval |
| Non-Gold branch expansion | 100-125 branches across Micro LAP, MSME and Home Loan | Next year (FY27) |
| AUM target | ₹33,000-34,000 crores | FY26 |
| AUM target (revised upward) | ₹43,000-44,000 crores | FY27 |
| AUM target (revised upward) | ₹55,000 crores (raised from ₹50,000 crores) | FY28 |
| ROE target | 16%+ | Not dated |
| ROA target | 4.0% to 4.25% | Not dated |
| Micro LAP loan book target | ~₹3,000 crores | Next 3 years |
| Micro LAP branch productivity | ~₹10 crores AUM per branch | By next year |
| Gold Loan AUM mix | Improve to ~45-46% of total AUM | Not dated |
| Co-lending share | Remain in 22-23% range; no further growth intended | Ongoing |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q3 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Consolidated AUM | ₹30,406 cr, +47% YoY and +12% QoQ |
| Disbursements | ₹10,879 cr, +87% YoY |
| Net interest income | ₹510 cr, +48% YoY |
| Non-interest income | ₹240 cr, +124% YoY and +18% QoQ, contributing 32% of net total income |
| Pre-provision operating profit | ₹363 cr, +92% YoY |
| PAT | ₹255 cr, +99% YoY, highest ever quarterly profit |
| Yield on net advances | 16.4% |
| Spread on net advances | 7.0%, improved from 6.9% in Q2 FY26; guided to 7.2% |
| Cost of funds | Reduced 24 bps QoQ |
| Cost-to-income ratio | 51.6%, improved from 58.2% in Q3 FY25 |
| ROE | 15% for the quarter |
| ROA | 4% for the quarter; aim to deliver 4% to 4.25% |
| Gross Stage 3 ratio | 1.2%, down 10 bps QoQ |
| Net Stage 3 ratio | 0.7%, down 7 bps QoQ |
| Provision coverage ratio on Stage 3 loans | 43.6% |
| Impairment cost | ₹23 cr, down from ₹31 cr in Q2 FY26, or 0.4% of gross loan book |
| Gold Loan AUM | ₹12,799 cr, +26% QoQ |
| Gold Loan gross NPA | 0.39% |
| Gold Loan yield | ~17.8%; expected to remain around 18% with 20-25 bps improvement likely |
| Gold Loan branch productivity | ₹14.1 cr AUM per branch |
| Housing Loan AUM | ₹6,490 cr, +40% YoY |
| MSME AUM | ₹5,886 cr, +19% YoY |
| Construction Finance AUM | ₹5,109 cr, +37% YoY |
| Micro LAP AUM | ₹650 cr; yield in 23-24% range; GNPA at 0.9% |
| Co-lending AUM | ₹7,138 cr, +93% YoY, 23.5% of total AUM |
| Co-lending income | ₹116 cr |
| Insurance distribution fee income | ₹34 cr |
| Car loan distribution originations | ₹3,290 cr, +15% YoY |
| Total branch network | 1,331 locations, net addition of 107 branches in Q3 |
| Employee base | 13,066, +7% QoQ; +19% YoY |
| Capital adequacy ratio (CGCL standalone) | 30.3% |
| Capital adequacy ratio (CGHFL) | 24.8% |
| Leverage ratio | 2.8x |
| Liquidity | ₹4,274 cr in cash, bank balances, investments and undrawn credit lines |
| FY26 AUM guidance | ₹33,000 cr to ₹34,000 cr |
| FY27 AUM guidance | ₹43,000 cr to ₹44,000 cr (revised) |
| FY28 AUM guidance | ₹55,000 cr (revised from ₹50,000 cr earlier) |
| Gold Loan portfolio LTV | 60% overall; fresh disbursement LTV at 64% in January |
| Stage 2 assets | 4% of gross loans, increased by ₹95 cr QoQ |
| Borrowing sanction limit added YTD | ₹6,860 cr |
| NCDs and commercial paper raised in Q3 | ₹635 cr |