Key Takeaways
- NIM recovery confirmed, up 27 bps QoQ to 3.81%: The bank’s call that NIMs had bottomed out last quarter proved correct, driven by higher yields on advances and a strategic deposit repricing play.
- Fee income surged 83% YoY on processing fees, but the run-rate is lumpy: Strong disbursements across gold, SME and wholesale drove the spike; management says ~80% of fees are granular and sustainable, though quarterly growth will not stay at 40%.
- The tech overhaul is the real opex story, keeping cost-to-income elevated at 60–65%: A 23% H1 opex rise funds the second phase of a multi-year transformation; the payoff is promised from FY27, with a sharp drop from FY28.
- Gold loans are evolving, not just growing: Tonnage growth is a modest 4% YoY, but a new SME segment with higher ticket sizes and specific end-uses is emerging, while the bank deliberately holds LTVs below market-driven levels.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the deposit repricing tailwind continues to lift NIMs, the pace of the retail asset build-out now that systems are in place, and any clarity on the ECL transition impact.
Margin & Treasury Dynamics
- Strategic deposit repricing is the engine: The bank shortened its deposit tenor over 18 months, anticipating falling rates, which is now lowering cost of funds as high-cost bulk deposits reprice down faster than retail.
- Yield improvement was broad-based: Gold loan portfolio growth and yield improvement, strong wholesale growth with marginal yield uptick, and maintained SME yields all contributed to the 22 bps QoQ rise in advances yield to 10.95%.
- Cost of funds fell 6 bps QoQ: Incremental borrowing costs are falling across deposits, refinance, CDs and FCY borrowing, with bulk deposit rates dropping sharply compared to retail.
- Treasury income is not a near-term story: Management sees little MTM-based treasury income in Q3 even if rates are cut further, with only a chance of some in Q4.
- The AFS reserve muted profit growth this quarter: Under new RBI investment guidelines, MTM on the AFS portfolio now flows to reserves (Tier 1 capital) rather than the P&L, a temporary effect that reverses only on realization.
Mondal: "We had strategically moved from a high tenor to low tenor deposits over the last 18 months in the bank. Hence, our average tenor has reduced. It was a strategic call that we have taken as we knew that interest rates are going to fall eventually."
Fee Income & Opex Investment
- Processing fees drove the 83% YoY fee surge: Strong disbursements across all businesses, especially gold loans where quarterly disbursements exceed ₹10,000 crores on a ~₹16,000 crore book, generated high processing fee income.
- Insurance and transaction banking added momentum: Insurance business delivered strong policy and premium income, while wholesale transaction banking, liability fees and TFX fees also contributed.
- The repledge portfolio is being deliberately run off: Regulatory guidance on re-pledgers prompted a conservative degrowth of the Loan Against Security book, which is being replaced with granular businesses that carry higher fees.
- Opex growth of 23% YoY for H1 funds the tech transformation: Technology costs are largely opex (AMCs etc.), not capex, and the bank is investing ahead of the curve with full payback expected from FY27 or FY28.
- Cost-to-income stays at 60–65% for another year: Management reiterated this range, with a sharp decline starting only from FY27 and accelerating from FY28, as the tech investment phase matures.
Mondal: "Around 80% of our fees are granular in nature and hence, sustainable for the long term."
Gold Loan Portfolio
- Growth has been uniform and deliberate, not market-chasing: Excluding the FY22 LTV impact, gold loan growth has been consistent over 3–4 years, even when the broader ecosystem grew 120% or contracted sharply.
- Tonnage growth is 4% YoY, with per-customer tonnage rising: The bank has brought down LTVs based on sensitivity analysis and is not chasing growth linked to gold price movements.
- A new SME gold segment is emerging: Higher ticket sizes of ₹5 lakh to ₹10 lakh are being taken for specific end-uses, not just personal consumption, marking an evolution management had not previously factored into its outlook.
- SMA book optics are misleading because of gold loans: Management declined to share SMA 0/1/2 numbers, arguing the SMA book is primarily gold loans where collection ability on day 80 is the same as day 30, making the classification unrepresentative.
Mondal: "There, I have changed my view slightly on this one. Previously, I used to say it is around 20%, but a new segment is coming up in gold business, which we want to address, which is the SME segment."
Asset Quality & Provisions
- PCR was deliberately raised back to ~72%: After dropping to 64–65% due to specific slippages last year, management accelerated provisions on some accounts to return to its 70–75% comfort zone, a level sustained historically without write-offs.
- The PCR rise is not linked to unsecured retail: Unsecured retail is less than 3% of the portfolio; the provision increase was a discretionary management decision on specific accounts.
- SME slippages from last quarter are recovering: Three accounts slipped last quarter; a large amount was recovered within the first 10–15 days of Q2, and management is positive on pending recoveries.
- ECL transition impact is expected to be immaterial: The bank carries substantial additional provisions beyond RBI norms, and its accelerated NPA provisioning policy means excess provisions will likely offset any minimum base-level requirements under draft ECL guidelines.
Growth Strategy & Portfolio Realignment
- The tech foundation for retail is now in place: With CBS migration stabilized and the second phase of transformation underway (OFSAA, OBDX, CMS, Supply Chain, Trade systems, plus 50+ surround systems), the bank will start building its retail liability and asset franchise from next year.
- Asset growth of 25–30% is a "no-brainer," but liquidity-constrained: Management sees this growth rate as easily achievable from an asset perspective, but must balance LCR, NIM and ecosystem liquidity; building a strong deposit franchise is the unlock.
- Corporate banking growth will accelerate: Realignment in the corporate book means growth will be higher than currently visible.
- Several portfolios are in deliberate runoff or pause: The DA and LCBD portfolio will exit by year-end, the FIPS (NBFC) book has not grown this year, and SME growth is paused pending clarity on exports and deals.
- Retail focus will span vehicles, CV, CE, LAP and LAS: Agri (KCC/tractors) will be rebuilt, and unsecured lending will be done primarily in-house with existing customers.
Mondal: "Growth of around 25% to 30% is a no-brainer for us from an asset perspective; but it will be constrained by the liquidity and the other situations in the ecosystem."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Cost-to-income ratio | Remain in 60–65% range, then decline sharply | FY27 onwards, accelerating from FY28 |
| Credit cost | 40–50 bps range, with quarterly variation | Long-term |
| Fee income sustainability | ~19–20% of overall income as fee income, safely baked in | Ongoing |
| Repledge (LAS) portfolio | Degrow as much as possible, not renewing | By next April |
| DA and LCBD portfolio | Exit completely | By end of this year |
| Retail franchise build-out | Begin building retail liability and asset franchise | From next year onwards |
| Scale ambition | Emerge as a respectable midsized bank | By FY 2030 |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q2 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Net profit | ₹160 cr, up 16% YoY and 35% QoQ |
| Operating profit | ₹279 cr, up 39% YoY and 27% QoQ |
| NII growth | 15% YoY and 12% QoQ |
| Other income growth | 75% YoY and 43% QoQ, constituting 24% of total income |
| Cost-to-income ratio | 63.86%, lower than Q2 FY25 and Q1 FY26 |
| NIM | 3.81%, up 27 bps over Q1 FY26 |
| ROA | 1.33%, up 30 bps over Q1 FY26 |
| ROE | 14.46% |
| EPS | ₹36.67 |
| Total advances growth | 29% YoY, vs industry growth of 11.4% YoY |
| Yield on advances | 10.95%, uptick of 22 bps over Q1 FY26 |
| Deposit growth | 25% YoY, vs 10% for the industry |
| CASA ratio | 21.17%, CASA growth of 9% YoY |
| CD ratio | 88% |
| Average LCR | 126% |
| NSFR | 116% |
| GNPA ratio | 1.81%, vs 1.84% in Q1 FY26 |
| NNPA ratio | 0.52%, vs 0.66% in Q1 FY26 |
| PCR without write-offs | 71.62%, vs 64.52% in Q1 FY26 |
| PCR with write-offs | 84.14%, vs 80.46% in Q1 FY26 |
| Cumulative provisioning buffer | ~₹199 cr over and above regulatory requirements |
| CRAR | 20.99%, Tier 1 ratio of 19.19% |
| Book value per share | ₹261 |
| Gold loan composition | 47% of advances |
| Portfolio linked to MCLR or EBLR | ~38%, with ~60% fixed rate portfolio |
| Cost of deposits change | Down 6 bps QoQ |
| Processing fee income growth | 83% YoY |
| Gold loan growth | 37% |
| Wholesale growth | ~33% YoY |
| Gold loan tonnage growth | 4% YoY |
| Unsecured retail portfolio share | Less than 3% of overall portfolio |
| Branch network | 838 branches and 810 ATMs as on 30 Sep 2025 |
| Credit cost guidance | 40 to 50 bps |
| Cost-to-income guidance | 60% to 65% for another year or so |
| Fee income as percentage of total income | ~19% to 20% sustainable run rate |
| Fee income as percentage of assets | 2.8% |
| Technology opex as percentage of total opex | ~8% to 9% |
| Opex growth (H1 FY26) | ~23% YoY |
| Highest term deposit rate | ~7% |
| DA portfolio | ~₹40 cr, down from over ₹1,000 cr at peak |