Key Takeaways
- Eighth straight quarter of consistency: Operating profit grew 25% for the full year, the highest in 8 years, while the bank hit 7-year lows on both gross and net NPA.
- NIM rose 12 bps QoQ to 3.39% despite absorbing the full impact of a 25 bps repo rate cut, helped by a deliberate shift toward higher-yielding assets and a shrinking low-yield co-lending book.
- Asset quality is being managed at the 1 DPD level, not at NPA: Slippages fell to 2.28% from 3.09%, and upgrades plus recoveries were 109% of fresh slippage, producing negative net slippages for the quarter.
- The mortgage engine has been rebuilt mid-flight: The HL-to-BL mix is now 70-30, self-sourcing is replacing DSA origination, and the resulting book is of "supremely better quality" with lower credit cost and higher stickiness.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the deposit repricing tailwind fades by late Q2 as guided, the pace of the new SME vertical's contribution, and any sign that the West Asia crisis is affecting portfolio performance.
Deposit & Liability Franchise
- Cost of funds falling faster than yield: Cost of deposits dropped 44 bps YoY, while yield on advances fell only 56 bps despite a 100 bps repo rate cut, widening the NIM by 10 bps YoY.
- The bank is no longer a price-led deposit gatherer: The peak retail term deposit rate spread versus the six largest banks has compressed from 1.27% to roughly 0.60%, and the bank is no longer among the top three highest-rate banks. Liability sales now rely on factors beyond price.
- Deposit granularity is improving: The top 20 depositor ratio fell to 6.55% from 6.61% a year ago, and growth is coming at lower cost.
- Current account remains a weak spot: The bank is "not happy" with the flat current account pickup and is putting resources and focus behind it, with improvement expected.
- The repricing benefit has a shelf life: Management expects the cost-of-deposit advantage to continue into late Q2 or perhaps early Q3, but not beyond that.
Kutty: "The bank has learned to sell liability products on items other than price also. Price is still a big, big component. I mean we are not anywhere where we need to be. But the reason why people bank with you, earlier used to be the rate. Today, it is changing."
Asset Quality & Slippage Management
- The collection philosophy has shifted from NPA management to 1 DPD management: The bank put more people into early bucket collections around June-July, and the results became visible in the March quarter.
- Slippage ratio improved to 2.28% from 3.09%: The improvement was driven by lower fresh slippage and higher focus on early buckets, with upgrades and recoveries reaching 109% of fresh slippage.
- Gold loan slippage disclosed separately for the first time: Gold loan slippage was 5.3%, down marginally from 6.29%, but management notes that natural delinquency in gold is higher because there is no early bucket collection when gold is the collateral.
- Non-gold slippage was just 1.4%: With gold loans carrying a 21.21% weight in the portfolio, the remaining 79% of the book produced a much lower slippage rate, yielding the overall 2.28%.
- Net NPA fell to 0.89%, a 7-year low: Management stated it does not see net NPA going back above 1% and intends to stay below that threshold, though it cautioned that unpredictable macro imponderables make a guarantee impossible.
- Provision coverage is comfortable at 78%+: Sufficient provisioning has been made for MFI loans to ensure evenness going forward.
Kutty: "I made the statement saying that we moved from managing NPA to managing 1 DPD, as in 1 day past due, okay? And when we made the statement, we already implemented that."
Mortgage & Secured Retail Re-engineering
- The mortgage business was restructured while still growing: Management described it as "changing the wheels of the train while the train is still moving," and other products compensated for growth during the transition.
- The HL-to-BL mix has shifted to roughly 70-30: This is helping yield, credit cost, and operating cost through higher ticket sizes, and it contributed to the slippage ratio falling from 3.09% to 2.28%.
- Self-sourcing is replacing DSA origination: Self-sourced loans stick for 6 to 7-plus years versus 2 to 2.5 years for DSA-sourced loans, balance take-outs are considerably lower, and the bank owns the customer rather than the intermediary.
- Mortgage growth is accelerating QoQ: The ~4% QoQ growth in the quarter is of "supremely better quality" than the book a year ago, and the take-off is happening.
- Cross-sell from the branch banking channel contributed a sizable chunk of mortgage growth: Credit bureau-linked interventions on the liability base are driving this, though overall cross-sell levels remain "painfully slow" but directionally okay.
Kutty: "We have really, really turned -- changed the wheels of the train while the train is still moving. And you haven't felt it because other products contributed to that particular growth."
Co-lending & Portfolio Mix Shift
- Co-lending growth was deliberately decelerated: Growth fell from 108% in FY24-25 to 24.9% in FY25-26, and the co-lending book decreased in absolute terms between Q3 and Q4, ending at 13.9% of assets versus a target of under 15%.
- In FY26-27, co-lending growth will match overall asset growth: The planned moderation is complete, and the book will now grow in line with the rest of the balance sheet.
- The CLM transition to non-discretionary is complete for gold co-lending: This covers the lion's share of the co-lending book, but the transition is not yet fully done for education financing, school financing, and LAP.
- The yield mix shift is structural: The low-yield co-lending book was shrunk while the higher-yielding own book grew, absorbing the full impact of a 25 bps repo rate cut in Q4 and limiting the YoY yield decline to just 56 bps despite 100 bps of rate cuts.
Kutty: "108% has been brought down to 24.9%. And in the current year '27-'28, sorry '25-'26, we will be exact -- co-lending growth will be exactly similar to the overall asset growth of the bank."
Growth, Expansion & Capital
- 18% to 20% growth is "a given": The bank aims to double its balance sheet in 3 to 4 years, with advances growth of 18% in FY26 against 20% balance sheet growth.
- Branch count is set to cross 500 this year: Management put a "very high probability" on crossing that mark during the year.
- Employee headcount is expected to hit 13,000 by year-end: 1,500 new hires are planned, primarily for liability and deposit acquisition and the distribution network, including branch banking and the self-sourcing sales force.
- A new SME vertical for customers above ₹3 crores was set up in July: The legacy SME book is flat QoQ and down 13% YoY, and this new channel is aimed at retaining good customers who were leaving; momentum for a comeback is expected as the vertical gets ready.
- The board passed an enabling resolution for up to ₹1,500 crores of capital raise: Management plans to raise roughly ₹1,100 to ₹1,200 crores, likely in late Q2 or early Q3, before an internal red flag on capital is reached by Q1 FY27-28 if growth continues at the current pace.
- Cost-to-average-assets is expected to stay at 2.5%: The model suggests 2.5%, and management is reasonably confident of holding that level despite increasing headcount.
Margins, Fees & Macro Cautions
- Operating jaws are widening: Income grew 16% while expenses grew 11%, producing a full-year operating profit growth of 25%, the highest in 8 years.
- NIM rose 12 bps QoQ to 3.39%: The improvement came despite the full impact of a 25 bps repo rate cut, driven by the mix shift away from low-yield co-lending and toward higher-yielding secured products.
- The business model NIM target is 3.50% to 3.65%: Management did not give a timeline for achieving it, instead pointing to current account improvement as a driver and saying "trust the process and the results will happen."
- Treasury contributed nothing in Q4 and that trend may continue: Core fee income is now the key driver for fees going forward, with third-party distribution and other fee avenues delivering healthy growth.
- The bank is overstocked on liquidity as a precaution against the West Asia crisis: A detailed assessment showed no immediate impact on portfolio performance, but management cautioned that the outcome depends on how long the imbroglio lasts, noting that unlike COVID, quantitative easing cannot solve this.
Kutty: "Unlike COVID, you can throw you can't do quantitative easing and get out of this. You will have to -- it's not going to be that easy."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Credit cost | Below 45 bps; currently at 32-33 bps, model is 45-55 bps | Ongoing; no reason to believe in short-term reversal |
| Net NPA ceiling | Stay below 1% | Ongoing; no timeline for any reversal |
| Cost-to-average-assets | 2.5% | Going forward, despite headcount increase |
| Branch count | Cross 500 | During this year (FY27) |
| Employee headcount | Reach 13,000 | By end of this year (FY27) |
| Co-lending growth | Match overall asset growth of the bank | FY26-27 |
| Deposit repricing benefit | Cost-of-deposit advantage continues | Until late Q2, perhaps early Q3, not beyond |
| Capital raise | ~₹1,100-₹1,200 crores | Late Q2 or early Q3 FY27 |
| Balance sheet doubling | Double the balance sheet | 3-4 years |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Profit after tax | ₹206 cr, highest ever; full year PAT ₹732 cr, also highest ever |
| Net interest margin | 3.39%, +12 bps QoQ and +10 bps YoY |
| Return on assets | 0.97% (Q4); full year ROE 12.77%, highest in 11 years |
| Return on equity | 13.53% (Q4) |
| Operating profit growth | 25% (full year), highest in 8 years |
| Income growth | 16% (full year) |
| Expense growth | 11% (full year) |
| Cost-to-income ratio | Decreased by 300 bps YoY |
| Cost to average assets | 2.47% (Q4); full year 2.5% |
| Advances growth | 18% YoY and 6% QoQ |
| Deposits growth | 21% YoY and 7% QoQ |
| Cost of deposits | 44 bps lower YoY in Q4 |
| CASA – savings account growth | 10% YoY |
| CASA – current account growth | Flat YoY |
| Bulk deposits share | 20% of total deposits |
| Core fee income | ₹198 cr, highest ever |
| Gross NPA ratio | 2.45%, 7-year low |
| Net NPA ratio | 0.89%, 7-year low |
| Slippage ratio | 2.28%, down from 3.09% |
| Slippage ratio ex-gold | 1.47% |
| Gold loan slippage ratio | 5.3%, down from 6.29% a year ago |
| Upgrades and recoveries | 109% of fresh slippage |
| Full year credit cost | 40 bps |
| Provision coverage ratio | 78%+ |
| Co-lending book share | 13.9% of advances, declined in absolute terms QoQ |
| Co-lending book size | ₹8,366 cr, bulk in gold; own gold book ~₹4,000 cr |
| Mortgage growth | ~4% QoQ (annualized ~16%) |
| SME book | ~₹2,000 cr, declined ~13% YoY |
| MFI book | ~₹600–700 cr, down from ₹1,400 cr |
| Yield on advances | Decreased 56 bps YoY despite 100 bps repo rate cut impact |
| Branches added | 11 in Q4 |
| Employee headcount | ~400 added on net basis in Q4; target ~13,000 by year-end |
| Fundraise target | ~₹1,100–1,200 cr planned, enabling resolution for ₹1,500 cr |