Key Takeaways
- A brutal microfinance cycle forced a reset: The bank posted a net loss of INR183 crores and flat YoY loan book after INR1,225 crores in technical write-offs, as sector-wide stress dismantled the high-yield unsecured portfolio.
- The balance sheet pivot to secured is real and fast: Secured loans surged to 51% of the book from 43% QoQ, already beating the internal 45% target, with gold loans doubling YoY and mortgage/MSME/vehicle loans up 107%.
- NIM collapsed on the mix shift and excess liquidity: Net interest margin fell to 6.9% from 10% YoY as high-yielding micro loans shrank, the CD ratio dropped to 77%, and deposit cost relief will take 1–1.5 years to fully flow through.
- Provisioning stayed heavy but asset quality held the line: Provisions of INR331 crores, INR130 crores above regulatory requirement, pushed PCR to 80.5% while GNPA and NNPA ratios were stable QoQ at 6.9% and 2.9%.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether net slippages actually moderate from the 7.88% rate, any sign of the promised H2 FY26 microfinance recovery, and how quickly the secured book can generate enough yield to pull NIM off its floor.
The Microfinance Shock & Portfolio Reset
- Sector in distress: Indian microfinance saw loan origination volumes drop 42%, delinquencies cross INR28,000 crores, and the overall portfolio contract from INR4.34 lakh crores to INR3.75 lakh crores, with 90+ DPD rising from 1.8% to 3.5% inside three quarters. External triggers included state-level legislation in Karnataka and Tamil Nadu that stabilized recovery practices, plus informal regulatory guidance to curb lending to over-leveraged borrowers.
- Technical write-off as balance sheet management: The INR1,225 crore head-office write-off, equal to 6.53% of the operating book, was explicitly a technical exercise to manage reported GNPA percentages, with recovery efforts continuing as if the write-off had not occurred. An additional INR345 crores in prudential write-offs flowed through the quarter.
- Provision concentration: Except for roughly INR21 crores, the entire INR332 crore provision charge belonged to the micro banking book, reflecting the depth of stress in that portfolio.
- PCR trajectory is locked in: Because all fresh delinquencies are flowing from the unsecured book, regulatory guidelines and internal policy require full provisioning over a one-year period, making the 80.5% PCR sustainable but also a drag that will persist until slippages reverse.
- Geographic de-risking already underway: Kerala's share of the loan book fell from 56% in FY21 to 36% in FY25, as the bank deliberately expanded into higher-potential markets across other states.
Hari Velloor: "Out of every 100 customers whom we acquired, we are quite happy about 30% to 40% of them use our accounts."
The Secured-Asset Pivot
- Disbursement surge: Secured loan disbursements grew 167% YoY to INR5,832 crores in Q4, driven by gold loans, mortgages, MSME and vehicle loans. The secured share of the total loan book jumped from 43% in Q3 to 51% in Q4, exceeding the internal March 2025 target of 45%.
- Gold loan doubling: The gold loan portfolio registered 25% QoQ growth and 98% YoY growth, with management seeing no stress in the book. The few NPAs that exist are spillover from micro loan borrowers who also turned delinquent on gold loans, and the absolute book size of roughly 6,000 accounts is described as "hardly a drop in the ocean."
- Mortgage, vehicle and MSME momentum: These segments together recorded 23% QoQ growth and 107% YoY growth, supported by newly established area and regional credit hubs with dedicated teams for credit processing, asset operations and sales, plus a Risk Control Unit and guardrails.
- Gold loan strategy is deliberately niche: The bank targets customers who want branch-convenience borrowing at rates below what large NBFCs charge, while consciously monitoring the gold loan share to cap concentration risk so that no single product becomes too large.
Hari Velloor: "We will certainly be keeping an eye in terms of share of gold loan, how much we want to cap into that. That certainly is a strategic decision we see and we'll continue to monitor so that no products becomes too big for the bank, let me put it that way."
NIM & Profitability Mechanics
- NIM halved on three forces: The shift from high-yielding micro loans to secured assets carries roughly a 10-percentage-point interest rate differential, the CD ratio fell from 92% to 77% on a deliberate excess-liquidity posture, and interest reversals from delinquent micro loans compounded the drag, taking NIM to 6.9% from 10% YoY.
- Deposit cost relief is slow-moving: While the bank has already cut FD rates by 50 bps and moderated savings bank effective rates by roughly 70 bps through ALCO decisions, the full benefit of lower term-deposit costs will only flow through over a 1-to-1.5-year period. Total cost of deposits stood at 7.5%, with SA deposits at 6%.
- CASA push tied to incentives: Variable employee pay was reoriented toward CASA growth rather than overall deposit-book growth, with specific CASA targets assigned to each branch.
- PPOP collapsed: Pre-provisioning operating profit fell to INR90.66 crores from INR284.69 crores, driven by unusual interest reversals and the excess liquidity drag. Operating costs rose 7.1% QoQ and 15.45% YoY, which management characterized as normal given business and expansion plans.
- Non-interest income held up: Fee income grew 5.7% YoY despite moderated asset growth, though it dipped 4.3% QoQ on lower micro loan disbursements.
Asset Quality & Provisioning Runway
- Headline ratios stable QoQ: Gross NPA at 6.9%, net NPA at 2.9%, both unchanged from the trailing quarter, with PCR improving to 80.5% after the heavy provision charge.
- Slippages moderating but still elevated: Net slippages eased to 7.88% in Q4 FY25 from 9% in Q3 and Q4 of the prior year, with management expecting further moderation in coming quarters.
- More write-offs likely before the turn: Because the full moderation in delinquencies is expected only by H2 FY26, management flagged that some additional write-offs can be expected in the interim, with the quantum depending on the delinquency flow.
- Recovery timeline tied to macro and discipline: Management expects recovery momentum to build in H2 FY26, supported by favourable macroeconomic conditions, continued operational discipline and fiscal prudence, with the reverse trend in micro loan stress already visible in both market data and the bank's own book.
ESAF 2.0 & The Operating Model
- Project StratoNeXt as the transformation backbone: The ESAF 2.0 strategic initiative targets scaled operations, enhanced customer experience and a future-ready digital technology and operational framework, with the technology transformation project already hitting structural milestones and progressing on track.
- Technology scope: The program spans cross-banking modernization, digital channel enhancement, process automation and data-driven decisioning, with AI-driven HR solutions being adopted for recruitment, performance management and employee engagement.
- Network still expanding: The bank added 34 banking outlets (total 787), 150 Customer Service Centers (total 1,106) and 79 ATMs (total 693) in FY25, with board approval for 38 more branches in the current financial year, mostly in unbanked rural locations.
- Customer engagement focus: Management acknowledged that only 30–40% of acquired customers actively use their accounts, and described a 3-to-4-step approach over the first three months post-onboarding to drive engagement and transactions, aiming to retain customers who are fully active by the end of that window.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Secured asset mix | Increase secured share to 70% of loan book | By March 2027 |
| Microfinance recovery | Reverse trend already visible; recovery momentum to build | H2 FY26 |
| Profitability turnaround | Turn around on a quarterly basis | Q3 and Q4 FY26 |
| Overall loan growth | 15% to 20% growth planned | FY26 |
| Credit cost normalization | Below FY24/FY25 levels, around 4.25% (FY23/FY24 level), not the FY23 level of 3% | FY26 |
| Further write-offs | Some more write-offs expected until delinquency moderation is complete | Until H2 FY26 |
| Branch expansion | 38 new branches, majority in unbanked rural locations | FY26 |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY25 |
|---|---|
| Total loan book | ₹19,643 cr, flat vs ₹19,659 cr in Q4 FY24 |
| Advances | ₹18,799 cr, flat vs ₹18,772 cr in Q4 FY24 |
| Deposits | ₹23,276 cr, +17% YoY |
| CASA balances | ₹5,783 cr, +28% YoY |
| CASA ratio | 24.8% |
| Net interest income | ₹436 cr, down from ₹591 cr in Q4 FY24 |
| Net interest margin | 6.9%, down from 10% in Q4 FY24 |
| Non-interest income | +5.7% YoY, Q4 decreased marginally by 4.3% |
| Pre-provisioning operating profit | ₹90.66 cr, down from ₹284.69 cr in Q4 FY24 |
| Provisions | ₹331 cr, including ₹130 cr over and above regulatory requirements |
| Net loss | ₹183 cr, improved from ₹210 cr loss in Q3 FY25 |
| Gross NPA | 6.9%, flat QoQ |
| Net NPA | 2.9%, flat QoQ |
| Provision coverage ratio | 80.5% |
| Net slippages | 7.88%, moderated from 9% in Q3 FY25 |
| Technical write-off of advances | ₹345 cr in Q4, cumulatively ₹1,225 cr in FY25 |
| Secured loans share of total loan book | 52%, up from 29% in March 2024 |
| Secured disbursements share of total disbursements | 85%, up from 42% in Q4 FY24 |
| Gold loan portfolio growth | +98% YoY, +25% QoQ |
| Mortgage, vehicle loan and MSME growth | +107% YoY, +23% QoQ |
| CD ratio | 77%, down from 92% in March 2024 |
| Total cost of deposit | 7.5% |
| Cost of savings account deposits | 6% |
| FD rate reduction | 50 bps |
| SB effective rate moderation | ~70 bps |
| Banking outlets | 787, 34 added in FY25 |
| Customer service centres | 1,106, 150 added in FY25 |
| ATMs | 693, 79 added in FY25 |
| New customers added in FY25 | Over 10.4 lakh |
| Kerala share of total advances | ~36%, down from 56% in FY21 |
| FY26 loan growth outlook | 15% to 20% |
| FY26 credit cost expectation | Around 4.25%, similar to FY23-24 levels |
| FY26 profitability turnaround expectation | Positive ROA by H2 FY26 |