Key Takeaways
- Revenue nearly doubled, margins squeezed: Consolidated topline grew 98% YoY to Rs.678 crore, but EBITDA margins were moderate as higher input and commodity prices hit all three segments.
- Manufacturing integration delivered growth but masked margin gains: The AGI Greenpac acquisition added scale, yet a ~2–2.5% margin impact (~Rs.13 crore) from input cost spikes in the first quarter of in-house manufacturing camouflaged the underlying improvement.
- Plastic pipes took a double hit: Polymer prices fell 14–16%, forcing an inventory loss of ~Rs.7 crore while fuel and power costs rose 10–12%, compressing EBIT margin to 5.2% from 9.7% QoQ.
- Bathware demand signal is genuinely strong: Q1 sales matched Q4 sales for the first time in 5–7 years, and 20% of revenue came from new products, suggesting market share gains are real.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the calibrated price hikes flow through to margins, whether PVC prices stabilize so pipe inventory losses stop, and whether the consumer demand slowdown seen late in Q1 persists into the festive season.
Input Cost Assault on Margins
- Brass and fuel hit bathware: Brass input prices rose 6–8% sequentially from Q3 FY22, and fuel and power costs for bathware manufacturing jumped 15–20% in Q1 FY23, erasing gains from commencing in-house manufacturing post-acquisition.
- Polymer price collapse hurt pipes: PVC prices fell 14–16% during the quarter, forcing selling prices down 11–12% and triggering an inventory loss of ~Rs.7 crore (a ~4% margin hit) because higher-cost stock had to be sold at lower market prices.
- Consumer appliances saw stubborn input costs: Rising raw material prices over the preceding 12–14 months depressed demand and compressed margins, though a strong cooling season helped standalone EBITDA recover to 4.5% from -1.1% a year earlier.
- The combined manufacturing margin impact was Rs.13 crore: Rs.7 crore on pipes and Rs.6 crore on sanitaryware and faucets, a direct EBITDA hit that management says accumulated in this quarter because material previously sourced under contract is now manufactured in-house.
- Price hikes taken but not yet reflected: 5–7% price increases on sanitaryware SKUs and increases on faucets were implemented in Q1; management expects these to take some time to fully flow through, with a few more hikes likely to normalize the cost impact.
Pokhriyal: "We believe Q2 will be better than Q1 and I think by Q3 we should be starting to clock absolutely I would say industry-leading margins."
Plastic Pipes: Fast Growth, Near-Term Pain
- Volume growth stayed strong despite the margin hit: CPVC volumes grew nearly 100% YoY, and the CPVC-to-UPVC value mix improved to 44% from 34% a year back, driven by more high-end CPVC business.
- The sequential revenue decline was entirely price-driven: Q1 volumes were 7,236 MT versus 9,253 MT in Q4 FY22, but management clarified the revenue drop was on price, not volume, as PVC selling prices were passed through to consumers.
- Inventory loss will bleed into Q2: Management expects some carry of inventory loss in the second quarter because the entire higher-cost inventory has not yet been consumed; normalization is expected only from Q3, assuming PVC prices stabilize between Rs.90 and Rs.100 per kg.
- Capacity expansion is on track: The brownfield expansion at Isnapur, Hyderabad, and the greenfield project for a new manufacturing facility in Roorkee (North) are both progressing according to schedule, with 200+ new SKUs introduced during the quarter.
- Long-term ambition reiterated: The brand claims to be the fastest-growing in India in pipes and fittings, currently ranked No. 7, with an ambition to reach the top five in the next five years, possibly earlier.
Sikka: "Our long-term guidance, which already we made last year, which we made in May 2021 that in three to four years will be crossing Rs.1,000 crore in this business, I think we are moving on a path to that direction."
Bathware: Demand Momentum and Share Gains
- A structural demand signal: Q1 sales were comparable with Q4 sales for the first time in 5–7 years, a pattern break that management called a true reflection of gaining demand momentum in bathware.
- New products are driving revenue: Close to 20% of Q1 revenue came from new product debuts, including the PVD colored faucet range launched in March 2022, and the company claims to be growing faster than the market across all categories it competes in.
- Distribution is expanding aggressively: 75 new distributors were added in the quarter, and the company has adopted an FMCG-style distributor approach in sanitaryware, alongside a separate institutional business team that is delivering disproportionate results.
- Brand investment is heavy and deliberate: The sanitaryware and faucets business re-launched its brand identity with a focus on Italian collections, an IPL association, and an "always on air" strategy, moves management says are driving outperformance versus competitors.
- Faucets capacity is underutilized: The faucets plant is running at only 57% utilization, leaving significant headroom to build up volume as demand scales, while the sanitaryware plant is at 84%.
Malik: "A key point to highlight is the fact that this is the first time in the last 5-7 years wherein Q1 sales are comparable with Q4 sales which is a true reflection of the gaining momentum in our demand."
Consumer Appliances: Cooling Saved the Quarter, Demand Softened Late
- Cooling products grew over 200%: A strong summer season and sustained dominance in the cooling and kitchen categories on e-commerce platforms drove 92% YoY growth for the segment.
- Fans achieved triple-digit growth: The category, described as very competitive, was helped by the introduction of more than 100 SKUs in the preceding nine months.
- Demand softened towards quarter-end: Management noticed a slowdown in consumer purchases as higher product costs and ongoing inflationary pressures began to bite, creating uncertainty heading into the seasonally important festive period.
- No further price hikes expected: Management believes selling prices will remain at Q1 levels for the next quarter unless the situation turns dramatically different, and sees no reason for any brand to lower prices in the upcoming festive season.
- Kitchen category is the Q2–Q3 anchor: Penetration of cooker hoods and hobs in India is below 1%, so management does not anticipate competitive pressures from new brand entrants and expects the category to deliver at least what it did last year, if not more.
Kaul: "I do not see any reason for any brand to lower its prices in the upcoming festive season, but I see the prices would remain stabilized for the next quarter at least at the current level."
Manufacturing Integration and Cost Structure
- The acquisition is now operational: All plants from the AGI Greenpac slump sale are now being operated by the company, with material movement and other settlements completed, though land registration for some assets is still under process and ~Rs.90 crore remains to be paid.
- Cost structure shifted visibly: The increase in other expenses and employee costs QoQ is largely attributable to manufacturing coming in-house; correspondingly, purchase of stock gets adjusted downward on an apple-to-apple basis, so the P&L line items have moved but the net impact is not as severe as it appears.
- Lease rental impact is now embedded in depreciation and interest: Two land and building assets not bought in the slump sale were taken on long-term lease, creating a Rs.3.5–4 crore quarterly impact that is now dissected under Ind-AS into depreciation and interest, explaining higher depreciation of ~Rs.22 crore versus the earlier expectation of ~Rs.18 crore.
- Inventory days are elevated: Bathware net working capital inventory stands at ~105 days, slightly increased due to inventory from the building product manufacturing acquisition, while the pipe segment is at ~100 days including imported inventory; management plans to optimize this over the next two to three quarters.
- The Evok retail business is now profitable: After restructuring during COVID, shutting 8–9 stores, retaining only 2, and moving to a franchise model, the previously loss-making Evok business is now profitable with good margins, and management may look to dispose of it at an appropriate time.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Consolidated revenue growth | 18–20% YoY growth; may over-achieve | FY2023 |
| Plastic pipes revenue | Cross Rs.1,000 crore | 3–4 years from May 2021 |
| Plastic pipes inventory normalization | Inventory loss stops, margins normalize | Q3 FY23, assuming PVC stabilizes at Rs.90–100/kg |
| Sanitaryware and faucets margins | Clock industry-leading margins | By Q3 FY23 |
| Consumer appliances margins | Return to last year's Q3 levels | Q3 FY23, contingent on demand pickup |
| Manufacturing margin addition | ~3–4% EBITDA margin delta from in-house manufacturing | 12–18 months to 2 years, barring input spikes |
| Consolidated EBITDA margin target | 14–15% | By FY2025 |
| Consumer appliances revenue | Rs.1,200–1,300 crore | 4-year horizon from May 2021 |
| Pipes market position | Reach top 5 players (from current No. 7) | Within 5 years, possibly earlier |
| Land registration settlement with AGI Greenpac | Complete procedures, pay ~Rs.90 crore | Next few weeks |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q1 FY23 |
|---|---|
| Consolidated revenue | ₹678 cr, +98% YoY |
| Consolidated EBITDA | ₹67 cr, +292% YoY |
| Consolidated PAT (after JV) | ₹11 cr |
| Building products revenue | ₹535 cr, +102% YoY |
| Building products EBIT margin | 8%, vs 7.3% in Q1 FY22 and 15.1% in Q4 FY22 |
| Plastic pipes revenue | ₹170 cr, +96% YoY |
| Plastic pipes EBIT margin | 5.2%, vs 7.6% in Q1 FY22 and 9.7% in Q4 FY22 |
| Consumer appliances revenue | ₹129 cr, +92% YoY |
| Consumer appliances standalone EBITDA margin | 4.5%, vs -1.1% in Q1 FY22 |
| Retail business revenue | ₹14 cr, +48% YoY |
| Sanitaryware and faucets EBIT margin | 13.3%, vs 7.3% in Q1 FY22 and 15.1% in Q4 FY22 |
| Pipes inventory loss impact on EBITDA | ₹7 cr, ~4% hit from polymer price decline |
| Sanitaryware and faucets input cost impact on EBITDA | ₹6 cr |
| Sanitaryware plant capacity utilization | 84% |
| Faucets plant capacity utilization | 57% |
| Pipes plant capacity utilization | 85% |
| Pipes volume | 7,236 metric tonnes, +75% YoY, ~78% of Q4 FY22 volume |
| CPVC share of total pipe sales | 44%, vs 34% a year back |
| Faucets share of bath products revenue | 35% |
| Sanitaryware and faucets revenue from new products | ~20%, from products launched in last five quarters |
| Bathware distributors added in quarter | 75 |
| Consumer appliances distributor count | 1,310+ |
| Consumer appliances retail touch points | 13,000+ |
| Consolidated gross debt | ₹630 cr to ₹640 cr |
| Net working capital inventory days (bathware) | ~105 days |
| Net working capital inventory days (pipes) | ~100 days |
| Debtor days (pipes) | ~23 days |
| Receivables days (bath products) | ~30 days |
| Consolidated revenue growth guidance (FY23) | 18% to 20% |
| Long-term pipes revenue target | ₹1,000 cr+, in three to four years from May 2021 |
| Long-term consumer appliances revenue target | ₹1,200 cr to ₹1,300 cr, in four years from May 2021 |
| Long-term consolidated EBITDA margin target | 14% to 15%, by FY2025 |