Key Takeaways
- Retail business discontinued: The Board has decided to discontinue the loss-making Retail Business and approved the sale or liquidation of its assets, removing a persistent drag on consolidated performance.
- Bathware margins expanded despite headwinds: EBITDA margin rose from 13.9% to 15.4% in FY24, even with one-off cricket marketing spends and subdued demand, and management guides a further 1–2% expansion over 18–24 months.
- Consumer Appliances remains the problem child: The segment posted an EBITDA loss of ₹13 crore for FY24, with gross margins compressing 2–3% YoY; a cost-optimisation-driven turnaround is promised by Q3 FY25.
- Pipes delivered strong volumes, weak mix: Volume grew 15% but CPVC demand was flat for the first time in 20 years, shifting the mix toward lower-value PVC products.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the equity fundraise takes shape, the promised demand recovery materialises post-elections by mid-Q2, and any early signs of the Consumer Appliances cost reset.
Bathware: Margin Delivery in a Soft Market
- Margin expansion levers: Insourcing of manufacturing is the core driver, with in-house production targeted to rise from 60% in FY24 to 75–80% in FY25, and faucet insourcing from 33–34% to 75–80% over the same period.
- New product engine: New products contributed 18% to FY24 revenue, supporting the premiumisation push even as overall demand stayed muted.
- Demand lag explained: Real estate projects launched during COVID are only now fructifying, but few launches occurred in that period, creating a temporary demand trough that management expects to lift once elections conclude by mid-Q2 FY25.
- Growth anchored to market: The company maintains its guidance to grow at 1.25x to 1.5x of the market, which it sees growing at an 8–10% long-term CAGR.
- Roorkee plant on track: The new Uttarakhand facility will be operational by end of Q3 FY25, with ₹80–90 crore of remaining capex; management expects to reach 70–90% utilisation based on northern demand.
Sudhanshu Pokhriyal: "This expansion occurred even after increased marketing spends on cricket platforms for brand building, such as World Cup and Asia Cup which were like one-offs in this year."
Consumer Appliances: The Turnaround Bet
- Losses driven by weak demand and inflation: Revenue fell to ₹422 crore for FY24 with an EBITDA loss of ₹13 crore; Q4 alone saw revenue of ₹108 crore and an EBITDA loss of ₹7 crore as muted consumer sentiment and headwinds persisted.
- Gross margin under pressure: Gross margins compressed 2–3% YoY, landing in a 28–33% range, though management declined to disclose the exact figure.
- Cost reset underway: Decisions taken in February/March consolidated after-sales service, call centres, warehousing and procurement across the bath and consumer businesses, with manpower and marketing costs also optimised.
- Synergy thesis: Cross-selling at shared dealership counters is the stated opportunity, with Sudhanshu Pokhriyal now leading the integration of the consumer business into the bath division's strengths.
- Long-term margin ambition: Management targets 8–10% EBITDA margin in 3–4 years, contingent on growth returning with healthy margins; no FY25 guidance was given.
Sandeep Sikka: "You will see the growth happening in this business. And as that growth happens, with the healthy margins, I think in the next 3 years, 4 years, we should be touching somewhere around 8% to 10%."
Pipes: Volume Strength, Mix Weakness
- Volume growth of 15% was driven by non-CPVC products, with PVC demand buoyed by government projects like the Jal Jeevan Mission and Har Ghar Jal.
- CPVC stagnation is historic: For the first time in 20 years, CPVC demand did not grow for the industry, with prices stagnant over the last two years; management expects a pickup by end of Q2 FY25.
- Mix shift toward lower-value PVC: The percentage of PVC in the product mix increased relative to CPVC, with a target to bring CPVC back to 45% of the mix next year as housing demand is expected to recover in the second half.
- Product diversification coming: Foam core pipes and inspection chambers are launching soon, and double-wall corrugated pipes will be commissioned around August or September.
- Margin and volume guidance: Management expects volume growth of 15–17% and EBITDA margin expansion of around 1% or more in the coming year.
Rajesh Pajnoo: "Last 20 years, this is the first year where CPVC has not grown for the industry."
Retail Business Exit
- Persistent losses forced the decision: The Retail Business continued to incur losses despite years of effort, operating in a highly competitive market crowded with online furniture players; the Board has approved discontinuation and sale or liquidation of related assets.
- Provisioning largely done: Approximately 90% or more of the ideal business provision has already been taken, with a possibility of some saving or some additional charge upon final eligibility.
Balance Sheet & Fundraising
- Debt levels have risen: Management acknowledged it has not maintained its earlier debt guidance and that debt levels have increased, prompting the Board to authorise exploration of equity fundraising alternatives.
- Equity raise in the works: The Board has given in-principle approval to look at a rights issue or preferential share issuance; the company is in the process of finding consultants, financial intermediaries and lawyers, and expects to go back to the Board in 1–2 months.
- Capex range for FY25: ₹120–140 crore, covering the pipes plant, Roorkee facility completion and distribution development.
- Debt repayment path: All EBITDA not spent on long-term capex will go toward debt reduction, but a firmer plan is promised in a quarter.
- Working capital optimisation: Internal targets include a 10–15% reduction in working capital over the next 12 months and a further 15% inventory optimisation from the March 31, 2024 base.
Sandeep Sikka: "We have not been able to maintain our guidance on the debt level. Debt levels have increased."
Cost & Operating Leverage
- Backend integration underway: Internal studies over the last 6–12 months demonstrated potential to reduce costs by integrating certain backend functions of the bathware and consumer appliance businesses; implementation is in progress.
- China import reduction: The target for FY25 is to cut imports from China to 3% of sourcing, down from current levels, as part of the insourcing push.
- Conservative margin guidance defended: When an analyst suggested the 100 bps margin expansion target looked conservative given insourcing improvements, management replied, "you can call us conservative," and stuck to the same guidance.
Sudhanshu Pokhriyal: "I think we've been maintaining this guidance from the previous year as well. And I mean you can call us conservative. I agree with you. But yes, I would stick to the same guidance at this point in time."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Bathware EBITDA margin expansion | Further 1–2% expansion | Over next 18–24 months |
| Consumer Appliances cost-efficiency results visible | Results of cost reduction steps to be seen | By Q3 FY25 |
| DWC pipes commissioning | Double-wall corrugated pipes commissioned | Around August or September |
| Roorkee plant operational | New manufacturing plant in Uttarakhand | By end of Q3 FY25 |
| Demand recovery | Demand to return post-elections | By middle of Q2 FY25 |
| Bathware growth vs market | Grow at 1.25x to 1.5x of market (market at 8–10% CAGR) | Long-term |
| Pipes volume growth | 15–17% volume growth | Coming year |
| Pipes EBITDA margin expansion | Around 1% or more | Coming year |
| CPVC demand pickup | Shift in CPVC demand expected | By end of Q2 FY25 |
| China import reduction | Reduce to 3% of sourcing | FY25 |
| In-house manufacturing target | 75–80% insourced (from 60%) | FY25 |
| Faucet insourcing target | 75–80% insourced (from 33–34%) | FY25 |
| Working capital reduction | 10–15% reduction | Over next 12 months |
| CPVC mix target | CPVC to comprise 45% of total product mix | Next year |
| Consumer Appliances EBITDA margin | 8–10% EBITDA margin | Next 3–4 years |
| Equity fundraising Board proposal | Go back to Board with plan | Next 1–2 months |
| Debt reduction plan | Firmer plan on debt level reduction | In a quarter |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY24 |
|---|---|
| Consolidated revenue | ₹774 cr, FY24 revenue ₹2,800 cr |
| Consolidated EBITDA | ₹65 cr, margin 8.4%; FY24 EBITDA ₹275 cr, margin 9.8% |
| Bathware revenue | ₹421 cr, FY24 revenue ₹1,580 cr |
| Bathware EBITDA | ₹65 cr, FY24 EBITDA ₹244 cr, margin 15.4% vs 13.9% in FY23 |
| Bathware net working capital days | 105 days, improved from 112 days in Q4 FY23 |
| Consumer Appliances revenue | ₹108 cr, FY24 revenue ₹422 cr |
| Consumer Appliances EBITDA | minus ₹7 cr, FY24 EBITDA minus ₹13 cr |
| Pipes (Truflo) revenue | ₹244 cr, FY24 revenue ₹744 cr |
| Pipes (Truflo) EBITDA | ₹26 cr, margin 10.9%; FY24 EBITDA ₹72 cr, margin 9.3% |
| Pipes volume growth | 15% in FY24, with FY25 guidance of 15% to 17% |
| Bathware EBITDA margin expansion guidance | 1% to 2% over next 18 to 24 months |
| Consolidated net debt | ₹836 cr, cost of debt 8.64% |
| Retail business discontinuation provision | ₹20.30 cr, net P&L impact ₹15.58 cr |
| New product contribution to Bathware FY24 revenue | 18% |
| China import share in Bathware | 7% to 8% in FY24, down from ~20% a year ago; FY25 target 3% |
| Bathware in-house manufacturing | 60% in FY24 vs 63% in FY23; FY25 target 75% to 80% |
| Faucets in-house manufacturing | 33% to 34% in FY24; FY25 target 75% to 80% |
| Pipes CPVC mix | 40% of product mix vs 45% target; CPVC volume flat YoY |
| Pipes capacity utilization (Hyderabad) | ~78% average |
| Consolidated inventory days | 141 days, reduced from 283; internal target further 15% reduction over next 12 months |
| Consumer Appliances gross margin | 28% to 33%, with 2% to 3% compression YoY (per an analyst's math) |
| Consumer Appliances long-term EBITDA margin target | 8% to 10% in next 3 to 4 years |
| FY25 budgeted capex | ₹120 cr to ₹140 cr, including ₹80 cr to ₹90 cr for Roorkee pipe plant |
| Brand shop investment | ₹20 cr to ₹25 cr |