Key Takeaways
- PAT hit by one-off provision, not operations: PAT of ₹11,318 crore was dragged down by a ₹1,283 crore RBI-directed standard asset provision for an agriculture PSL portfolio; excluding it, PAT would have risen 4.1% YoY to ₹12,280 crore.
- NIM held flat at 4.30% despite rate headwinds: The full impact of 125 bps in repo cuts over the last year is flowing through the loan book, but deposit repricing and a CRR cut benefit offset it. Management expects NIMs to stay range-bound.
- Asset quality is stable, with seasonal noise: Gross slippages of ₹5,356 crore were lower than the ₹6,085 crore in Q3 last year, and the Kisan Credit Card NPA uptick is a normal Q1/Q3 seasonal pattern. Retail NPLs excluding KCC are declining.
- Loan growth momentum is picking up: Sequential growth improved in Q3 despite a credit card book rundown, and management expects the momentum to sustain into Q4, with the mortgage, rural and corporate portfolios all showing better trends.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the credit card book resumes growth as promised, the pace of unsecured loan recovery, and any further RBI observations on the PSL portfolio when the next annual inspection cycle concludes.
The Agriculture PSL Provision: A One-Off, but With a Tail
- What happened: RBI directed the Bank to make a ₹1,283 crore standard asset provision on a ₹20,000–₹25,000 crore agriculture priority sector lending portfolio originated since 2012, after finding its terms not fully compliant with PSL classification requirements. The loans are standard, secured, and borrowers’ terms and repayment behaviour are unchanged.
- The provision is not a one-and-done event: The additional standard asset provision will continue until the loans are either repaid or renewed in conformity with PSL guidelines. Management’s current assessment is that no major incremental provisions are expected going forward, but it stopped short of calling the exercise complete.
- PSL compliance costs are already rising: Part of the operating expense increase over recent quarters comes from buying priority sector lending certificates at higher cost, a trend that predates and is separate from this regulatory observation.
- What management will not say: The Bank declined to disclose the specific classification observations made by RBI, whether the issue had ever been flagged earlier, or whether the ₹1,283 crore provision covers the entire portfolio. Discussions with the regulator are confidential.[32-33]
Batra: "I also want to categorically state there is no change of asset classification, or in terms and conditions applicable to the borrowers, or in repayment behaviour of the borrower as per these terms."
Margin Resilience in a Falling-Rate Cycle
- NIM held at 4.30% QoQ: Loan repricing from the June and December repo cuts and MCLR reductions of ~75 bps over the cycle progressively hit the portfolio, while seasonally higher non-accrual on KCC NPAs added pressure. These were offset by retail deposit repricing and the CRR cut benefit.
- Yield on advances fell ~21 bps QoQ: The decline reflects the full impact of loans that repriced in September after the June repo cut, plus the cumulative MCLR reductions flowing through the floating-rate book.
- Q4 will see the December repo cut bite: That headwind will be partly offset by continued retail term deposit repricing and the absence of the seasonal KCC non-accrual spike. Management’s base case is range-bound NIMs from here.
- The strategy is PBT, not NIM maximisation: The Bank focuses on risk-calibrated profitable growth, working with customers across products, and driving profit before tax excluding treasury as its internal metric. Treasury gains are viewed over economic cycles, not quarter to quarter. [12-13]
Banerjee: "Overall, we would stay with our view that the NIM should be range-bound from here on."
Loan Book: Secured Growth, Unsecured Waiting
| Segment | Trend | Commentary |
|---|---|---|
| Mortgage, Rural, Corporate | ▲ Momentum | All three saw improved growth trends in Q3; corporate clients are well-funded but the Bank participates where it has franchise, and the settling of external benchmarks gives more confidence to price and lend.[37-38] |
| Business Banking | ▲ Growing, base moderating | Portfolio grew ~22% YoY and is now larger than the corporate book; the growth rate moderation is purely a base effect, and management says it is at “full steam” with untapped space remaining. |
| Credit Cards | ▼ Sequential decline | High festive spends in late Q2 were billed and repaid in Q3, causing a book rundown. The transactor mix has risen across players. Management calls the decline “more one-off” and expects gradual improvement. |
| Personal Loans | ▬ Muted | Grew just 2% vs overall loan growth of 11.5%; credit quality has improved and underwriting is comfortable. Management believes growth should pick up but will take time to cross the overall loan growth rate. |
- The unsecured thesis is patience, not retreat: The Bank views credit cards as part of a 360-degree customer offering, not a standalone product, and new launches aim to enrich that offering and attract good customers. Personal loan growth is expected to improve from current muted levels, but management is explicit that it will take time.
Banerjee: "When overall loan growth is 11.5% and personal loan is growing at 2%, it would be foolhardy to say that it will cross that level, but we definitely believe it should pick up from these levels."
Asset Quality: Stable Core, Seasonal Fringe
- Gross slippages are trending lower: ₹5,356 crore in Q3-2026 vs ₹6,085 crore in Q3-2025; net additions of ₹2,074 crore vs ₹2,693 crore a year ago. The Kisan Credit Card portfolio added ₹736 crore in NPAs, a normal Q1/Q3 seasonal pattern that was slightly higher than the ₹714 crore in Q3 last year.
- Retail NPLs excluding KCC are declining: Management expressed comfort with asset quality across both secured and unsecured retail, noting that aggregate retail NPL formation has come down.
- The agriculture PSL book is standard and secured: Despite the regulatory provision, there is no change in asset classification or borrower repayment behaviour. The Bank has been originating this portfolio over many years and is happy with its quality.
- Corporate credit quality is within guardrails: The Bank operates within its BBB origination limits and is comfortable with the quality of its corporate book.
Operating Costs: Labour Code Adds a Layer
- Costs would have declined QoQ excluding the Labour Code impact: The new Labour Code will marginally increase recurring operating costs going forward, but management expects the pace of cost growth to moderate from the levels seen a couple of quarters ago.
- Fee income is under pressure at the margin: Cards and payments fees have been a drag on YoY growth, and loan-related processing fees face competitive pressure. The franchise is granular: 78% of fees come from retail, rural and business banking. Management hopes core fee growth picks up as the cards and payments business recovers.
- The cost strategy is leverage, not cuts: The Bank will work towards maximising pre-provision operating profit and absorbing cost increases within the P&L rather than cutting costs outright.
Banerjee: "I don't expect cost to go up at the pace at which they had gone up maybe till a couple of quarters ago."
Leadership, Capital & Structural Moves
- CEO Sandeep Bakhshi gets a two-year extension: The Board approved a term from October 2026 through October 2028, which management notes is nearly three years from today. The Bank declined all further comment on succession planning, internal candidates, or whether this is the final term.[18-19]
- Capital adequacy is ample at 17.3%: Management sees no need to raise capital to support further loan growth. The credit-deposit ratio rose this quarter due to the CRR cut, but the Bank is comfortably funded with healthy retail deposit growth and does not expect the LDR to rise further.
- Pension fund business acquired from a step-down subsidiary: The move is expected to unlock synergies with the Bank’s customer base in the coming quarter.
- Institutional savings account balances are a drag: Retail SA growth has been strong, but government and institutional SA balances have declined in absolute terms over the last two quarters. Management expects that impact to moderate going forward.
Banerjee: "No, as we said, we have three years to go. So, in a lighter vein, we've hopefully addressed the speculation around October '26. And I think it's too early to speculate about October '28."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| NIM trajectory | NIMs to remain range-bound from here on, reflecting loan repricing offset by deposit repricing. | Ongoing |
| Agriculture PSL provision | Additional standard asset provision continues until loans are repaid or renewed in conformity with PSL guidelines; no major incremental provisions expected based on current assessments. | Until portfolio conforms |
| Loan growth momentum | Sequential growth pickup seen in Q3 expected to sustain into Q4. | Q4 FY26 |
| Credit card book | Decline called “more one-off”; book should gradually improve and grow from here. | Gradual, from Q4 onward |
| Unsecured loan growth | Personal loan and credit card growth rates should pick up from current muted levels, but will take time to cross overall loan growth. | Medium-term |
| Operating cost growth | Pace of cost increases expected to moderate from levels seen a couple of quarters ago; Labour Code will marginally increase recurring costs. | Ongoing |
| Institutional SA drag | Impact from institutional savings account balance reductions should moderate going forward. | Near-term |
| Core fee growth | Management hopes core fee growth picks up as cards and payments business recovers. | Conditional on business pickup |
| LDR | Management does not see LDR going up from here; it can moderate marginally. | Near-term |
| Profit growth | Once the interest rate cycle settles, profit growth should improve from current single-digit levels. | When rate cycle stabilises |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q3 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Net interest income | ₹21,932 cr, +7.7% YoY and +1.9% QoQ |
| Net interest margin | 4.30%, flat QoQ; +5 bps YoY |
| Fee income | ₹6,572 cr, +6.3% YoY and +1.2% QoQ |
| Non-interest income (excl. treasury) | ₹7,525 cr, +12.4% YoY and +2.3% QoQ |
| Core operating profit | ₹17,513 cr, +6.0% YoY and +2.5% QoQ |
| Operating expenses | ₹11,944 cr, +13.2% YoY; includes ₹145 cr Labour Code provision |
| Profit after tax | ₹11,318 cr, -4.0% YoY; adjusted PAT +4.1% YoY to ₹12,280 cr excluding one-time provision |
| Profit before tax excluding treasury | ₹14,957 cr; adjusted +6.2% YoY to ₹16,240 cr excluding one-time provision |
| Provisions (excl. tax) | ₹2,556 cr; includes ₹1,283 cr one-time standard asset provision directed by RBI for agri-PSL portfolio |
| Provisions excl. one-time agri-PSL provision | ₹1,273 cr, 7.3% of core operating profit and 0.36% of average advances |
| Return on average assets (adjusted) | 2.3% (standalone, excluding one-time provision) |
| Standalone RoE (adjusted) | 15.5% (excluding one-time provision) |
| Total capital adequacy ratio | 17.34%, including 9M-2026 profits; CET-1 ratio 16.46% |
| Average LCR | ~126% for the quarter |
| Domestic loan growth | +11.5% YoY and +4.0% QoQ |
| Retail loan growth | +7.2% YoY and +1.9% QoQ; 42.2% of total portfolio including non-fund outstanding |
| Business banking growth | +22.8% YoY and +4.7% QoQ |
| Domestic corporate growth | +5.6% YoY and +6.5% QoQ |
| Mortgage portfolio growth | +11.1% YoY and +3.2% QoQ |
| Personal loans growth | +2.4% YoY and +1.7% QoQ |
| Credit card portfolio | -3.5% YoY and -6.7% QoQ; decline driven by festive-spend repayments |
| Average deposit growth | +8.7% YoY and +1.8% QoQ to ₹15,86,088 cr |
| Average CASA growth | +8.9% YoY and +1.5% QoQ |
| Period-end deposits | ₹16,59,611 cr, +9.2% YoY and +2.9% QoQ |
| Cost of deposits | 4.55%, down from 4.64% QoQ and 4.91% YoY |
| Net NPA ratio | 0.37%, improved from 0.39% QoQ and 0.42% YoY |
| Gross NPA additions | ₹5,356 cr, down from ₹6,085 cr in Q3 FY25 |
| Net additions to gross NPAs | ₹2,074 cr, down from ₹2,693 cr in Q3 FY25 |
| Provisioning coverage ratio | 75.4% on non-performing loans |
| Contingency provisions | ₹13,100 cr, ~0.9% of total advances |
| One-time agri-PSL standard asset provision | ₹1,283 cr directed by RBI; underlying portfolio ~₹20,000–₹25,000 cr; provision continues until loans repaid or renewed in conformity |
| Treasury income | Loss of ₹157 cr vs gain of ₹220 cr in Q2 FY26 and gain of ₹371 cr in Q3 FY25 |
| Branch network | 7,385 branches and 11,983 ATMs/cash recyclers; 402 branches added in 9M FY26 |
| Corporate portfolio rated A- and above | ~71% of corporate loan portfolio |
| Builder portfolio | ₹68,083 cr, 4.3% of total loans; 1.1% rated BB and below or NPA |
| NBFC and HFC exposure | ₹79,118 cr, ~4.3% of advances |