Key Takeaways
- Gold loan yield slashed 150 bps to 20.7%: A deliberate, phased repricing to match leading NBFCs, with management betting volume growth will protect income; the full journey to ~18% market rates is plotted over roughly six quarters.
- Microfinance loss halves but the hole is still deep: Asirvad's loss narrowed from INR624 crores in Q4 to INR267 crores in Q1, with credit costs expected to fall another 30%+; management calls the worst "over" but stopped short of declaring the bottom on provisioning.
- Growth is ticket-size led, not customer-count led: Gold AUM jumped 12% QoQ while tonnage rose just 1% and customer count was flat; higher-ticket customers (INR1 lakh+) are responding to rate cuts, while small-ticket borrowers drift to pawnbrokers due to regulatory friction.
- New CEO declines to share any strategy: Deepak Reddy, five days into the role, explicitly ducked questions on his vision, leadership changes, and forward guidance, calling it "very, very premature."
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the Bain Capital deal clears RBI, whether branch expansion approvals unlock, and whether Asirvad's provisioning cycle is truly done or just pausing.
The Gold Loan Repricing Bet
- Yield compression is the new strategy: Management cut gold loan yields from 22.2% to 20.7% in a single quarter, framing it as a conscious move to align with leading NBFC peers. The plan is to reach market levels around 18% in a phased manner over approximately six quarters.
- Growth is the hedge: The company insists the yield drop will not hurt budgeted gold loan income for the current year because volume growth will compensate. AUM grew 12% QoQ, but the growth engine is narrow: it came from higher-ticket customers (INR1 lakh+), not from broadening the base.
- Small-ticket leakage: Tonnage grew only 1% QoQ and net customer count was flat despite adding 3.5 lakh new customers. Small-ticket borrowers (up to INR1 lakh) are exiting to pawnbrokers, partly because regulatory requirements to transfer loan proceeds to bank accounts create friction that informal lenders avoid.
- Borrowing cost tailwind: Any reduction in the company's own borrowing costs will be passed on to customers, reinforcing the downward yield trajectory.
V. P. Nandakumar: "It's a conscious strategy to bring it on par with leading players in the NBFC industry slowly. So that is yielding results. And that is not as per our assessment that is not going to impact our gold loan income during the current year because of the depression yield. Depression yield will be compensated by the growth."
Microfinance: Bleeding Slower, Not Stopped
- Loss narrowed sharply: Asirvad's loss fell from INR624 crores in Q4 to INR267 crores in Q1, driven by sector-wide stress from borrower over-leverage and elevated credit costs. Q4 was the peak credit cost quarter; Q1 was roughly half that level.
- Credit cost trajectory: Management expects at least a 30% reduction from Q1's credit cost in coming quarters and believes the microfinance business will turn profitable this year. Collections are improving slowly as stringent SRO-guided underwriting takes hold on new disbursals.
- Provisioning ambiguity: When asked directly whether write-offs and impairments are done or if more losses need to be provided for, management described the provision coverage ratio and monitoring process but did not confirm the worst is behind.
- Portfolio shrinking by design: The microfinance book is being gradually reduced to 10% of the consolidated company, part of a broader pivot to make the secured book 90% of consolidated AUM.
V. P. Nandakumar: "In the last con call, last quarter also, I told you the worst is over. Now things are coming back. And we are hoping things will improve towards the last quarter, should turn green that is our"
Bain Capital, Branches & the Regulatory Gate
- Bain deal progressing through approvals: CCI clearance is in hand; NSE and BSE approval is expected within a fortnight; RBI approval is expected within one month. The transaction's processing at RBI is also delaying branch expansion approvals.
- Branch expansion frozen at 4,044: RBI requires prior approval for every branch beyond 1,000 for gold loan companies. Applications have been submitted but remain pending, with the Bain transaction cited as a factor in the delay. Management expects RBI approval for new branches by next month.
- 5,000+ branch ambition: The plan is to grow gold loan branches to around 5,000 by year-end, partly by leveraging Asirvad's 1,100 non-gold branches. Co-lending discussions with banks are underway to mobilize gold loans through this channel, aided by relaxed qualifying asset criteria for MFIs.
- Competitive moat rests on people and infrastructure: Management argues that a large, trained workforce capable of assessing gold purity by feel and touch, plus security infrastructure built across India, creates a barrier that takes time to replicate.
V. P. Nandakumar: "For gold loan companies, there is a restriction in opening branches beyond 1,000. The restriction is we need to seek prior approval from RBI for every branch."
Non-Gold Businesses: Consolidation, Not Growth
- Vehicle finance shrinking: AUM declined 5.9% QoQ to INR4,492 crores. The company exited the farm equipment segment and remodeled two-wheeler lending with automated underwriting to cut operating costs; disbursals have dropped and are expected to recover only gradually.
- MSME refocusing on larger tickets: The ~5% unsecured MSME portfolio caused the major challenge. The company is targeting an average ticket size increase from INR5 lakhs to INR8-9 lakhs by year-end to improve employee productivity and asset quality, and hopes to reduce opex by 2% gradually.
- Affordable housing moving upmarket: Average ticket size is being shifted from INR5 lakhs to INR8-15 lakhs with improved underwriting.
- ARC and DA transactions: INR150-160 crores of direct assignments and INR50 crores of ARC sales were executed from the secured MSME book, generating only INR5 crores in net income. The purpose is to enable RCC proceedings and rigorous borrower follow-up, not profit.
- Portfolio mix target: Non-gold AUM share is expected to decline from 35% to 25%, with gold overtaking it. The secured book target is 90% of consolidated AUM, with unsecured microfinance below 10%.
The New CEO's Silence
- Deepak Reddy joined as CEO with over three decades of experience, but after five days in the role he explicitly declined to share any strategy, vision, or guidance.
- Leadership transition underway: Dr. Shailesh J. Mehta completes his two-term tenure as Chairman and Independent Director effective August 27, 2025; the Board has decided to appoint V. P. Nandakumar.
- Strategy disclosure deferred indefinitely: Reddy said he has thoughts and a plan forming but needs time to travel, meet people, and validate hypotheses before speaking publicly. No timeline was offered for when he will present his strategy.
Deepak Reddy: "I'm going to duck the question, and I'll tell you why... it's definitely premature for me. This is 5 days experience in the company to state at this August forum what exact strategy going forward."
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Gold loan yield reduction | Bring yields to market levels (~18%) in phased manner; current year gold loan income protected by volume growth | ~6 quarters |
| Gold loan branch expansion | Grow to ~5,000+ branches, partly via Asirvad's non-gold branches | By end of this year |
| RBI branch approval | Expect approval for pending branch applications | By next month |
| Bain Capital RBI approval | Expect regulatory clearance for the transaction | Within one month |
| Microfinance credit cost | At least 30% reduction from Q1 levels | Coming quarters |
| Microfinance profitability | Business "should turn green" | Towards last quarter of this year |
| MSME average ticket size | Increase from INR5 lakhs to INR8-9 lakhs | By end of this year |
| Secured book mix | Increase secured book to 90% of consolidated AUM; microfinance below 10% | Phased, no fixed date |
| Non-gold AUM share | Reduce from 35% to 25% of consolidated AUM | Phased, no fixed date |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q1 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Standalone revenue | ₹1,744.5 cr, +0.2% QoQ |
| Standalone PAT | ₹392.1 cr, vs ₹414.4 cr in Q4 FY25 |
| Consolidated revenue | ₹2,265 cr, vs ₹2,329 cr in Q4 FY25 |
| Consolidated PAT before OCI and minority interests | ₹132.5 cr, vs loss of ₹203.2 cr in Q4 FY25 |
| Interim dividend | ₹0.50 per share |
| Consolidated AUM | ₹2,802 cr, +12.6% QoQ and +21.8% YoY |
| Gold loan portfolio share of consolidated AUM | 65%, vs 59.5% in Q4 FY25 |
| Gold loan yield | 20.7%, vs 22.2% in Q4 FY25 |
| Gold loan auctions | ₹51 cr |
| Gold loan average LTV | 57% |
| Gold loan online sourcing | 85% of loan book |
| Gold loan active customer base | 25.9 lakhs, with 3.58 lakh new customers added in Q1 |
| Gold loan ticket size above ₹5 lakh | 19.1% of gold loan book, vs 16% in Q4 FY25 |
| Asirvad Microfinance AUM (including gold loans) | ₹6,705 cr, down 18% QoQ and 45% YoY |
| Asirvad Microfinance PAT | Loss of ₹267 cr, vs loss of ₹624 cr in Q4 FY25 |
| Asirvad net NPA | 1.4% (₹84 cr), vs ₹177 cr in Q4 FY25 |
| Asirvad CRAR | 23.6% |
| Vehicle finance AUM | ₹4,492 cr, decline of 5.9% QoQ |
| Cost of borrowings | Declined 2 bps QoQ |
| Gold loan branches | 4,044, flat QoQ and YoY; target 5,000+ by end of FY26 |
| MSME average ticket size | ~₹5 lakhs, targeting ₹8-9 lakhs by end of FY26 |
| Provision coverage ratio (Asirvad) | 70% on slippages |