Key Takeaways
- AUM crosses ₹11,000 crores, doubling plan set: Consolidated AUM reached the milestone, and management laid out a formal target to double it again over the next three to four years, maintaining a 20%-25% growth trajectory.
- Equity raise fortifies the balance sheet: The ₹500 crores QIP, the first equity raise since the 2017 IPO, signals readiness to fund the next leg of growth without straining leverage.
- DPD spike is operational, not a credit event: A YoY and QoQ rise in DPDs was driven by election and heat-wave disruptions to collections, not by underlying portfolio deterioration; normalization is expected in one or two quarters.
- Margins held steady through the noise: NIMs remained close to 7% and ROAs between 2.8% and 3%, with management committing to defend these levels even as it recalibrates pricing.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the DPD normalization materializes on schedule, the pace of the geographic push into southern states, and the newly promised product-wise disbursement disclosures.
Growth Roadmap: Doubling AUM in 3-4 Years
- The target: Management has drawn internal plans for the next ~12 quarters to take consolidated AUM from ₹10,000 crores to ₹20,000 crores, sticking to a 20%-25% annual growth cadence.
- The engine mix: SME, affordable housing, wheels, and salaried personal loans (capped below 10% of the book) are the named growth drivers for this doubling.
- Geographic unlock: The company is developing its South and North regions, with southern states (Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, AP, Telangana) expected to start contributing meaningfully over the next three to four years.
- Southern thesis: Despite a macro perception of saturation, management sees ample opportunity replacing private financiers and capturing new demand, and its practical experience suggests it can grow the portfolio there with quality.
- Wheels ambition: A renewed focus on used commercial vehicles is underway, supported by aggressive hiring and new-area product introductions, with the portfolio share for wheels eventually targeted around 25%.
Kamlesh Gandhi: "So, there is a lot of opportunity replacing so many such finances and the new demand generated from time to time. So, our practical experience from these states are such that we are in a position to grow the portfolio with quality."
Distribution Strategy: Tilting Toward Direct
- Current split: Direct distribution stands at ~65% of the book, with the remaining ~34% flowing through indirect channels (partner NBFCs funded to create similar assets).
- The shift: Management expects the direct share to rise to 70-75% by the time AUM doubles, with indirect settling at 25-30%, a recalibration that increases control over origination quality as the book scales.
- Indirect model maturity: The 15-year-old indirect retail channel maintains adequate controls, and the company intends to keep it as a meaningful but smaller part of the mix.
Kamlesh Gandhi: "when we double our AUM, what looks like 65% through our direct distribution should be around 70-75% through our direct distribution, and 25-30% through our indirect distribution."
Asset Quality: A Transient DPD Blip
- The spike: DPDs rose both YoY and QoQ, but management attributed the move entirely to collection-effort limitations caused by elections and a heat wave, not to any deterioration in underlying credit quality.
- Recovery underway: Collections have already started recouping, and normalization of the DPD metric is expected to take one or two quarters.
- Structural recalibration: As the direct retail portfolio increases, there will be a natural recalibration in DPDs below the 90 DPD bucket, a shift management frames as a mix effect rather than a risk flag.
- Calibrated growth philosophy: The company explicitly prioritizes assessment quality over growth pace, willing to let growth vary if underwriting standards demand it.
Kamlesh Gandhi: "If you keep your growth constant, your assessment becomes variable. If you keep assessment constant the growth can be variable."
Margins, Funding & the Rating Upgrade
- Margin defense: NIMs were maintained close to 7% and ROAs between 2.8% and 3%, and management expects to hold these levels through continuous pricing recalibration.
- Rating upgrade lag: A credit rating upgrade has been secured, but the benefit will take time to flow through because rates recalibrate only when MCLR resets; management does not see the cost of borrowings coming down very soon.
- Cost-of-funds trajectory: The near-term trajectory is stable at current levels, though management is making a hard try to bring it down by at least 20-25 basis points over time.
- Liquidity in place: The company raised ~₹490 crores in term loans and ₹150 crores via NCDs during the quarter, and plans to utilize approximately ₹1,500 crores of sanctions on hand during the year.
Kamlesh Gandhi: "the rating has been upgraded and it will take its time for getting the rates recalibrated whenever the MCLR are reset. And secondly, given the overall scenario, we don't see that coming down very soon."
Capital & Off-Book Management
- QIP milestone: The ₹500 crores equity raise was the company's first since its 2017 IPO, strengthening the capital base ahead of the planned AUM doubling.
- Off-book target: The company aims to maintain around 25% of AUM as off-book through direct assignment and co-lending, balancing capital efficiency with funding diversification.
- Disclosure upgrade: Starting next quarter, the company will share product-wise disbursement numbers, responding to investor demand for greater granularity.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| AUM doubling | Grow consolidated AUM from ~₹10,000 crores to ₹20,000 crores | Next 3-4 years |
| Growth trajectory | Maintain 20%-25% annual growth | Ongoing |
| NIM and ROA defense | NIMs close to 7%; ROAs between 2.8% and 3% | Ongoing |
| DPD normalization | Election/heat-wave-driven DPD spike to reverse | One or two quarters |
| Direct distribution mix | Increase direct share from ~65% to 70-75% | By the time AUM doubles |
| Off-book AUM share | Maintain ~25% of AUM off-book via direct assignment and co-lending | Ongoing |
| Cost of borrowings reduction | Bring down by at least 20-25 bps (hard try, not a formal target) | Undated |
| Product-wise disbursement disclosure | Begin sharing disbursement numbers by product | Starting next quarter |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q1 FY25 |
|---|---|
| Consolidated AUM | ₹11,006.72 cr, +24.12% YoY |
| Standalone AUM | ₹10,383 cr, +23.35% YoY |
| Consolidated PAT | ₹72.56 cr, +26.06% YoY |
| Standalone total income | ₹347 cr, +23.71% YoY |
| Standalone PBT | ₹94.39 cr, +24.53% YoY |
| Standalone PAT | ₹70.43 cr, +23.02% YoY |
| NIM | Close to 7%, maintained |
| ROA | 2.8% to 3%, maintained |
| Overall yield on AUM | ~17% |
| Capital adequacy | 28.59%, with Tier-1 at 25.39% |
| Debt-to-equity | 3.08 times |
| Gross Stage 3 (standalone) | 2.29%, vs 2.25% as on March 2024 |
| Net Stage 3 (standalone) | 1.52%, vs 1.51% as on March 2024 |
| Management overlay (standalone) | ₹17.60 cr, 0.22% of on-book assets |
| Housing subsidiary AUM | ₹623 cr, +38.44% YoY |
| Housing subsidiary PAT | ₹2.17 cr, +36.41% YoY |
| Housing Gross Stage 3 | 0.90%, flat vs March 2024 |
| Housing Net Stage 3 | 0.65%, vs 0.66% as on March 2024 |
| Housing management overlay | ₹3 cr, 0.63% of on-book assets |
| Microenterprise loans AUM | ₹4,523 cr, +12.49% YoY |
| SME loans AUM | ₹3,784 cr, +23.06% YoY |
| Two-wheeler loans AUM | ₹669 cr, +17.13% YoY |
| Commercial vehicle loans AUM | ₹817 cr, +82.28% YoY |
| Salaried personal loans AUM | ₹590 cr, +95% YoY |
| MSME share of growth | 62% of total growth contribution |
| Wheels share of growth | ~24% of total growth contribution |
| SPL share of growth | 14% of total growth contribution |
| Standalone QoQ AUM growth | ~2.5% |
| Current portfolio shortfall vs anticipated | 0.6% less than anticipated, due to election and heatwave impact on collections |
| Quarterly portfolio runoff | ₹2,000 cr to ₹2,500 cr |
| Average cash and cash equivalents | ~₹800 cr, excluding QIP proceeds of ₹500 cr and unutilized cash credit of ~₹600 cr |
| Sanctions on hand | ₹2,200 cr in term loan, direct assignment, and co-lending as on June 30, 2024 |
| Direct assignment and co-lending transactions in Q1 | ~₹600 cr |
| Co-lending and direct assignment sanctions to utilize | ~₹1,500 cr during the year |
| Available cash credit facilities | ~₹1,700 cr, average utilization 70% to 75% |
| Term loan raised in Q1 | ~₹490 cr, average maturity 3 to 5 years |
| Term loan sanctions on hand | ~₹725 cr |
| NCDs raised in Q1 | ₹150 cr |
| QIP equity raised | ₹500 cr, first equity raise since IPO in 2017 |
| Cost of borrowing expected reduction | 20 to 30 bps targeted |
| Commercial vehicle average yield | ~19% to 20% |
| Salaried personal loan minimum CIBIL score | More than 700 |
| Wheels portfolio target | ~25% of portfolio going forward |
| Direct distribution target at doubled AUM | 70-75% of total distribution |