Team Lease Services Ltd Guidance Report - SOIC x StockScans Report
as of Sep 2026
- Specialized staffing hiring cost reduction of 50-60%
Partial - In the FY24 Annual Report, management aimed to achieve a 50-60% reduction in specialized staffing hiring costs, then ₹35,000-40,000 per associate, with continued tech investments. In Q4 FY26 the company reported a structural reduction of about 20% in cost-to-hire year-on-year and a 20% improvement in recruiter productivity in specialized staffing, with no disclosure of reaching the 50-60% reduction.
- Board evaluating formal dividend distribution policy and buyback
Delivered - In the FY25 Annual Report, the Board was evaluating a formal dividend distribution policy and other options like share buyback. At Q4 FY26 the Board approved a buyback of up to 25% of free reserves at ₹1,600 per share, and by Q1 FY27 a ₹238 cr buyback was completed.
- Financial priorities: revenue CAGR 18-20%, EBITDA CAGR 25%, ROCE over 30%
Missed - In the FY25 Annual Report, financial priorities were stated as maintaining consistent revenue CAGR of 18-20% with an EBITDA CAGR of 25% and ROCE of over 30%. FY25 revenue grew 20% with EBITDA up 6% and ROCE 12.62%; FY26 revenue grew 6%, EBITDA grew 14% and ROCE was 14.19%.
- RegTech EBITDA margin of about 8% on full-year basis
On track - At the Q1 FY27 call, management expected RegTech EBITDA margin of about 8% on a full-year basis. In Q1 FY27 RegTech posted EBITDA of ₹0.9 cr on ₹15 cr revenue, a \~6% margin, below the full-year target but positive.
- EdTech steady-state EBITDA margin of 8-10%, FY27 margin expansion up to 10%
Pending - At the Q1 FY27 call, management expected EdTech steady-state EBITDA margin of 8% to 10%, with full-year FY27 HR Services EdTech margin expansion going up to 10%. In Q1 FY27 EdTech posted EBITDA of ₹(1.7) cr on ₹32 cr revenue, a -5.3% margin.
- Specialized staffing margin sharp recovery by Q2-Q3 FY27, stable 8-9% in 4-5 quarters
On track - At the Q1 FY27 call, management expected specialized staffing margin recovery - "by Q2, Q3, you will see a sharp recovery" - and a stable 8%-9% EBITDA margin in about 4 to 5 quarters. Q1 FY27 specialized staffing EBITDA margin was 6.2%, down from 7.3% in Q4 FY26.
- Shram Suvidha Portal go-live in next 18-20 months
Pending - At the Q4 FY26 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said the Shram Suvidha Portal is expected to go live "in the next 18 to 20 months". No go-live has been disclosed yet; Q1 FY27 notes reference labor codes and Shram Suvidha portal context.
- PAPM uptrend continued in FY26
Delivered - At the Q4 FY26 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said the PAPM uptrend "can be continued in FY26 as well". PAPM improved from ₹669 in Q1 FY26 to ₹689 in Q4 FY26, before easing to ₹680 in Q1 FY27.
- Margin expansion continue in FY27 in staffing and DA vertical
Pending - At the Q4 FY26 call, CFO Ramani Dathi stated "we will be consistently expanding margin in the staffing and DA vertical" in FY27. Q1 FY27 general staffing EBITDA margin was 1.0% vs 1.1% in Q4 FY26, with management guiding staffing EBITDA at \~1% for 1-2 quarters.
- Planned exit of \~10,000 headcount in Q1-Q2 FY27 with no net margin impact
On track - At the Q4 FY26 call, management guided to a planned exit of about 10,000 headcount across staffing and DA businesses in Q1 and Q2 of FY27 while revisiting low-margin mandates, with no net margin impact. In Q1 FY27, DA excluding the planned 5,500 headcount exit added \~2,100 apprentices and general staffing added 4,000 net, with no margin impact disclosed.
- Positive headcount by H1 FY27 and full year FY27
On track - At the Q4 FY26 call, management guided to ending H1 FY27 with positive headcount and being positive on a half-year and full-year basis. In Q1 FY27, general staffing closed at \~2.91 lakh associates with a sequential net addition of 4,000; total headcount was 341,330, flat QoQ and -3% YoY.
- FY27 EBITDA growth of over 20%
Pending - At the Q4 FY26 call, CFO Ramani Dathi guided to year-on-year EBITDA growth of over 20% for FY27. At Q1 FY27 she said "the effort is there. We may or may not be able to do it" - a softening of the commitment - as group EBITDA grew 3% YoY and business EBITDA grew 18% YoY.
- Specialized staffing margins reach 7-7.2% by end of FY26
Delivered - At the Q1 FY26 call, Neeti Sharma committed specialized staffing margins would reach "about 7%-7.2%" towards the end of FY26. FY26 specialized staffing EBITDA margin closed at 7.4%, with Q4 FY26 at 7.3%.
- At least 30% EBITDA growth YoY for rest of FY26
Missed - At the Q1 FY26 call, CFO Ramani Dathi guided that for the rest of FY26 the company "should be able to maintain at least a 30% EBITDA growth year-on-year"; at Q2 FY26 this was revised to 25% YoY by end of the year. Actual YoY EBITDA growth was 25% in Q2, 22% in Q3, and -4% in Q4, with full-year growth of 14%.
- HR services segment revenue growth of 25-30% consistently with 6-8% EBITDA margin
Missed - At the Q1 FY26 call, CFO Ramani Dathi guided the HR services segment to maintain revenue growth of 25%-30% "consistently" with EBITDA margin "anywhere between 6%-8%". FY26 Other HR Services revenue grew 23% with a 4.3% EBITDA margin; Q1 FY27 revenue grew 12% YoY with a -4.7% margin.
- HR Tech EBITDA positive by mid-FY27
On track - At the Q1 FY26 call, Ashok Reddy committed HR Tech will be EBITDA positive "by mid-next year" (mid-FY27). HR Tech EBITDA remained negative at ₹(1.2) cr in Q4 FY26 and ₹(1.6) cr in Q1 FY27, with losses narrowing and two more quarters of investment guided.
- EdTech FY26 top-line growth of 20-25% with 6-7% EBITDA margin
Delivered - At the Q4 FY25 call, CFO Ramani Dathi projected close to 20% to 25% top-line growth for EdTech in FY26 with about 6% to 7% EBITDA margin. FY26 EdTech revenue totaled \~₹175 cr (Q1-Q4: 30/40/46/59) vs \~₹115 cr in FY25, \~52% growth above the guided floor, with FY26 EBITDA of \~₹11.7 cr (\~6.7% margin), within the guided band.
- FY26 profit growth in line with revenue growth
Delivered - At the Q4 FY25 call, Ashok Reddy stated the clear objective was profit growth in line with revenue growth in FY26. FY26 revenue grew 6%, while EBITDA grew 14%, PBT grew 36% and PAT grew 33%.
- Staffing segment 20-25% annual growth in absolute profits going forward
Missed - At the Q4 FY25 call, CFO Ramani Dathi targeted a decent 20% to 25% annual growth in absolute profits of the staffing segment going forward. General staffing EBITDA grew 4% to ₹110.7 cr in FY25 and 6% to ₹117.5 cr in FY26.
- HR Tech vertical EBITDA margins of 6-7% after 12-month period
Missed - At the Q3 FY25 call, management said with TSR Darashaw and Crystal HR integration, the HR Tech vertical should reach EBITDA margins of 6%-7% after a 12-month period. HR Tech remained EBITDA negative at ₹(1.2) cr in Q4 FY26 and ₹(1.6) cr in Q1 FY27, though TSR margin ran \~15% and Wallet HR \~30%.
- Ikigai no EBITDA contribution in Q4 FY25, meaningful contribution from FY26
Delivered - At the Q3 FY25 call, management expected no EBITDA contribution from Ikigai in Q4 FY25 but "meaningful contribution" from FY26 onwards. Q4 FY25 acquisitions contributed about ₹1 cr EBITDA; in FY26 the global business became EBITDA positive, contributed \~4% of net revenue by Q2 FY26 and grew revenue 200% by Q4 FY26 while being margin accretive.
- Specialized staffing GCC revenue share to continue growing over next few quarters
Delivered - At the Q2 FY25 call, about 60% of specialized staffing revenue came from GCC and management expected this share to continue to grow over the next few quarters. The share moved from \~60% to 55-60% in Q3 FY25, 64% in Q1 FY26, 62% in Q2 FY26, \~65% in Q3 FY26 and \~67% in Q4 FY26 and Q1 FY27.
- Hire Tech platform go-live in FY26 with \~₹20 cr capex over 18 months
Delivered - At the Q2 FY25 call, management said a high-tech hiring platform was expected to go live in FY26, with \~₹20-odd cr of capex starting Q1 of the year, to be spent over 18 months. The FY26 Annual Report confirms the new AI-powered recruitment platform was slated for a FY26 launch with AI capabilities piloted, and at Q1 FY27 management was confident of tangible automation results by end of the fiscal.
- 80JJAA effective tax rate 0% for standalone for 3-5 years; consolidated 8-10% from next year
On track - At the Q2 FY25 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said the standalone effective tax rate can be 0 for at least the next 3-5 years, with the consolidated rate expected between 8% to 10% starting next year. Refunds have continued - full refunds up to FY23, a favorable Madras High Court quashing for AY 2017-18, ₹143 cr refund in Q4 FY26 and ₹38 cr in Q1 FY27, with no outstanding demands disclosed.
- Other HR Services 6-8% EBITDA margin in FY25, improving to 8-10% in coming years
Missed - At the Q2 FY25 call, management guided Other HR Services at annual level to 6% to 8% EBITDA margin this year, improving to 8% to 10% sustainable margins in coming years. FY25 Other HR Services EBITDA margin was 4.4%, FY26 4.3% and Q1 FY27 -4.7%.
- EdTech double-digit YoY growth on annual profits for FY25
Missed - At the Q2 FY25 call, management expected double-digit year-on-year growth on annual profits for EdTech for FY25 despite muted H1 profitability. FY25 EdTech revenue grew 66%, but ECL provisions hit margins; Other HR Services EBITDA fell to ₹8.6 cr from ₹12.0 cr in FY24, a 28% decline.
- Group profits double-digit sequential growth for rest of FY25
Delivered - At the Q2 FY25 call, management was confident of maintaining strong double-digit growth in sequential profits for the rest of the quarters. Q3 FY25 group PBT grew 14% QoQ and Q4 FY25 PBT grew 40% QoQ.
- Consistent growth in volume and profit contribution by DA from Q1 FY25 onwards
Partial - At the Q1 FY25 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said "There shall be a consistent growth in volume and profit contribution by DA from here onwards". DA added over 3,000 heads in Q2 FY25, about 2,500 for FY25, \~1,700 in Q1 FY26 and \~1,000 in Q4 FY26, but Q3 FY26 recorded a net drop of \~5,600 apprentices.
- BFSI hiring slowdown expected to correct coming into Q2 FY25
Missed - At the Q4 FY24 call, Kartik Narayan said the BFSI hiring slowdown was "expected to correct coming into Q2 of FY25". Q1 FY25 BFSI was muted at 7% YoY volume growth, Q2 FY25 was a mixed bag after regulatory scrutiny, Q3 FY25 was flat, and Q4 FY25 saw about 7,000 associates lost to regulatory changes in BFSI.
- EBITDA recovery starting Q2 FY25, more importantly H2 FY25
Delivered - At the Q4 FY24 call, CFO Ramani Dathi expected EBITDA recovery starting Q2 FY25 and "more importantly, in H2 of next year". Q2 FY25 group PBT grew 30% sequentially, Q3 FY25 EBITDA grew 4% QoQ, and Q4 FY25 EBITDA reached ₹48 cr, +37% QoQ and +30% YoY, with FY25 EBITDA up 6%.
- Substantial portion of ₹264 cr TDS receivable as refund in H1 FY25
Delivered - At the Q4 FY24 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said a substantial portion of the ₹264 cr TDS receivable was expected as refund in H1 FY25. In Q1 FY25 a TDS refund of ₹115 cr was received with full allowance on 80JJAA claims, taking total cash balance to ₹439 cr as of 30th June 2024.
- 18-20% general staffing headcount growth in FY25
Missed - At the Q4 FY24 call, management reiterated it could maintain 18-20% general staffing headcount growth in FY25 based on open positions going into H1. FY25 general staffing closed with 25,000 net additions, a little over 9% growth, with Q4 FY25 headcount at 292,150 vs 267,000 a year earlier, \~9.4%.
- 5-10 bps sequential EBITDA margin improvement starting Q3 FY25
Partial - At the Q4 FY24 call, management committed to a steady 5-10 bps sequential EBITDA margin improvement starting Q3 FY25. Q3 FY25 group PBT margin improved by 5 bps and EBITDA margin rose from 1.2% to 1.7% by Q4 FY25, but the sequence was not consistent every quarter, with Q1 FY26 declining to 1.06% from Q4 FY25 before recovering to 1.56% by Q4 FY26.
- RegTech EBITDA potential of 4-5% starting H2 FY25
Delivered - At the Q4 FY24 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said the RegTech business, coupled with compliance services and currently at ₹40 cr annual revenue, has "an EBITDA potential of 4% to 5% starting H2 of FY25". By Q2 FY25 RegTech had become profitable on a consistent, growing trajectory, and by Q1 FY27 management expected about 8% EBITDA margin on a full-year basis, with Q1 FY27 at \~6%.
- HR Tech 20% top-line growth in FY24, breakeven or marginal profitability in FY25
Missed - At the Q3 FY24 call, management expected HR Tech to see 20% kind of growth on top line, and for FY25 "slightly breakeven or marginal profitability"; the breakeven goal was later pushed to mid-FY27. FY25 HR Tech stayed EBITDA negative on sales and product investments, and EBITDA was ₹(1.2) cr in Q4 FY26 and ₹(1.6) cr in Q1 FY27.
- Specialized staffing EBITDA margin of 6.5-6.7% short-term, back to 8-9% when demand returns
On track - At the Q3 FY24 call, the short-term goal was to maintain specialized staffing EBITDA margin between 6.5% to 6.7%, and to go back to the normal level of 8% to 9% once demand is back; the target was later revised to 7-7.2% by end FY26 and then 8-9% in 4-5 quarters from Q1 FY27. FY24 margin was 6.8%, improving to 7.3% in FY25 and 7.4% in FY26, before dipping to 6.2% in Q1 FY27.
- EdTech \~30% YoY revenue growth at \~8% EBITDA margin
Partial - At the Q1 FY24 call, CFO Ramani Dathi confirmed the EdTech segment was expected to deliver \~30% YoY revenue growth on average at \~8% EBITDA margin on a yearly basis; this was later revised to 6-8% margin guidance and then 8-10% steady-state by Q1 FY27. FY24 EdTech grew profits 30% and FY25 revenue grew 66%, but FY25 margin was \~6% after ECL provisions and Q1 FY27 EBITDA was ₹(1.7) cr on ₹32 cr revenue.
- Share buyback completed next month
Delivered - At the Q4 FY23 call, Ashok Reddy said the share buyback currently in process would be completed "next month". The buyback process was completed in Q1 FY24 with a total cash outflow of ₹120 cr including taxes.
- NEEM complete exit by end of Q2 FY24
Partial - At the Q4 FY23 call, management expected a complete exit of NEEM trainees by end of Q2 FY24; the deadline was pushed at Q1 FY24 and Q2 FY24 to two quarters ahead, then to Q1 FY25. The exit was completed in Q1 FY25 - "more or less behind us now" - after an over ₹20 cr bottom-line impact over the prior 18 months.
- FY23 general staffing associate headcount growth of \~14% and revenue growth of 20-21%
Delivered - At the Q3 FY23 call, management guided FY23 general staffing associate headcount growth of \~14% and revenue growth of 20%-21%, cutting the prior 20% headcount growth expectation to "maybe 14%, 15% kind of level". FY23 delivered near 29,000 net associate additions - the second highest reported in any year - and general staffing revenues rose about 22.7%.
- EdTech and RegTech turn positive by end of FY23
Delivered - At the Q2 FY23 call, Ashok Reddy said EdTech and RegTech "will turn positive by end of this year also". Management asserted both had turned positive in Q2 FY23, and FY23 RegTech recorded its first-ever positive EBITDA with revenue up 59%.
- HR services 8% net profit run rate in FY23
Delivered - At the Q2 FY23 call, CFO Ramani Dathi said HR services including EdTech/RegTech would "maintain an 8% net profit run rate in that business on a full year basis"; at Q3 FY23 this was reiterated as a \~8% (7-8%) full-year margin. FY23 Other HR Services segment PBIT margin was 33.15% on ₹125 cr revenue, and FY24 EBITDA margin was 8.4%.
- FY23 margins similar to FY22
Missed - At the Q1 FY23 call, management said from Q2 onwards there was a clear roadmap to improve margins by a few basis points quarter-on-quarter and the company should close FY23 with margins similar to FY22, with the CFO clarifying "we do not give an exact guidance but we should come closer to that". FY23 operating profit margin came in at 1.55% vs FY22 2.20%, down 65 bps.
- Telecom/engineering portfolio change completion and margin improvement
Partial - At the Q1 FY23 call, management said the telecom/engineering portfolio change, replacing non-tech mandates with tech mandates, would be completed over the next few quarters with margins expected to improve. Specialized staffing exited a big low-margin telecom mandate in Q2 FY23 and transitioned 650 resources by Q3 FY24, but margin fell from 8.8% in FY22 to 7.8% in FY23 and 6.8% in FY24 before recovering to 7.3% in FY25 and 7.4% in FY26.
- Degree apprenticeship additional realization of ₹200-400 per trainee per month
Delivered - At the Q1 FY23 call, management indicated the degree-apprenticeship (NETAP) program should be able to charge an additional ₹200-300-400 per trainee per month over the current \~₹555-560 realization, after factoring pass-through costs. DA PAPM rose to \~₹600 by Q2 FY24, with slab-based pricing from ₹500 up to ₹2,500 per month and integrated learning apprentices realizing ₹700-800 by Q3 FY25.
- Government training business full exit by end of FY23
Delivered - At the Q4 FY22 call, management expected full exit of the government training business "by end of FY2023". In Q2 FY23 management decided to pull back - "dealing with the government was not our cup of tea" - and the business was moved from HR services to unallocated, with no further disclosure of a continuing government training business.
- Specialized staffing growth of 30-32% YoY in FY23
Missed - At the Q4 FY22 call, specialized staffing was expected to grow at 30-32% year-on-year, contributing to overall margin expansion; guidance was revised at Q2 FY23 to "broadly flat or might even see a marginal decrease" and at Q3 FY23 to "still remain flattish" for the full year. FY23 specialized staffing revenue grew 7%, headcount dipped 9% and EBITDA margins dipped 120 basis points.
- Consistent quarter-on-quarter margin expansion from Q3 FY23 - group
Missed - At the Q4 FY22 call, management expected "from Q3 onwards we will have a consistent margin expansion quarter-on-quarter"; this was reiterated from Q2 FY23, but at Q4 FY23 management guided "at least two, three quarters of softening on the margin front" ahead. Q3 FY23 EBITDA margins were flat QoQ and down YoY, Q4 FY23 was flattish, and FY23 operating profit margin fell to 1.55% from 2.20%.