Key Takeaways
- Record year, 20% top-line growth delivered: Revenue grew 20% YoY and PAT grew 26% YoY, hitting a record INR 371 crore, while net cash rose 35% to INR 950 crore.
- Order book swells to INR 17,200 crore: FY26 intake of INR 7,500 crore (up from INR 5,700 crore) was headlined by three INR 1,000+ crore mega wins, pushing the backlog to over 4x revenue.
- Middle East cements its role as the growth engine: The Yanbu desalination mega-order opened doors across the Kingdom, and management sees a \$5 billion annual GCC opportunity for the next decade, driven by Vision 2030 and the FIFA World Cup.
- Margins held within the guided band: EBITDA came in at 13.3% and ROCE at nearly 20%, both inside or near the 13-15% and 20%+ targets, with O&M scale and international mix acting as the future margin levers.
- What to watch next quarter: Whether the "very imminent" Kuwait order signs this quarter, the pace of the new five-year strategy blueprint from the incoming Deputy MD, and any stabilization in the lumpy India EPC revenue.
The Middle East Engine & Competitive Moat
- GCC is a decade-long tailwind: Management quantified the opportunity at an average of \$5 billion per year for the next 10 years, anchored by Saudi Vision 2030, the 2034 FIFA World Cup, and Oman Vision 2040.
- Yanbu win was a key that unlocked doors: The mega desalination project, won and then re-won after a client recalibration, built trust in WABAG's technical capabilities and opened entries with other customers across the Kingdom.
- Kuwait and UAE entries are imminent: The company is in a "preferential position" in Kuwait and expects to sign a job "in a short span," while a long-standing UAE branch is finally set to land its first order.
- Industrial expansion in Saudi is the next leg: WABAG is now registered with Aramco and participating in work groups, positioning for industrial jobs tied to AI infrastructure, mining, and oil and gas.
- The moat is end-to-end capability, not price: WABAG wins in the Middle East not by being L1 on price but through PPP models that combine power, capex, and opex, using captive technology and four decades of operating data to minimize total lifecycle cost.
Rohan Mittal: "We have picked up orders, we've picked up good orders, we have not been desperate in the market, we have picked up orders that are going to be sustainable and will protect the company's risk."
Order Book & Project Pipeline
- Three mega-orders anchored the year: Chennai's 45 MLD TTRO plant (rehab plus O&M), an ADB-funded city-wide looped water grid (first of its kind in India), and the Yanbu desalination plant in Saudi, each over INR 1,000 crore.
- The backlog is shifting toward recurring revenue: O&M now makes up 40% of the order backlog (INR 6,500 crore), an annuity stream that is cash-accretive, margin-accretive, and asset-light.
- India's pipeline is structural, not cyclical: Only 28% of sewage is treated in India, and the Viksit Bharat push plus industrial capex create a humongous opportunity; the Chennai looped water grid is expected to be a model other cities follow.
- Execution milestones are stacking up: The 200 MLD Al-Hair STP in Saudi is at 83% physical progress and on track for commissioning; three Philippines projects are in the proving stage and nearing conclusion; the Bangladesh project has moved past its challenges to an advanced stage.
- New geographies are being seeded: A senior hire in the CIS region has the company hopeful of adding two to three countries beyond Georgia this year, while Zambia civil works have started and a Namibia job is under execution.
India: The Lumpy Growth Engine
- India revenue was flat YoY at ~INR 1,800+ crore, but management attributes this to the lumpy nature of EPC work and an earlier strategic redeployment of resources to the Middle East and Africa when the Indian market had not yet picked up.
- Segment profitability fell sharply in Q4, from INR 127 crore to INR 60 crore, but this reflects project phasing: construction-phase revenue is largely pass-through with lower margins, and common engineering and procurement resources are shared with the Middle East cluster. Management urges investors to look at blended margins on a multi-year basis.
- New domestic orders are filling the hopper: The Kodungaiyur O&M project, the Chennai ring main, BPCL, Reliance, and a DJB project announced Friday were all booked recently, setting up a recovery in Indian revenue.
- The municipal platform is a "wait one more quarter" story: WABAG is working with state authorities to pilot tertiary treated water for non-potable use, which could cover 40-60% of household consumption, and is "on the verge of getting closer" to agreements for a platform that would allow bidding multiple municipal projects without scouting new partners each time.
Margins, Cash & the Asset-Light Model
- Margins stayed inside the 13-15% guided band at 13.3% EBITDA, with PAT margin at 9.4% and ROCE at nearly 20%.
- Three levers are expected to push margins higher: economies of scale from larger project sizes, an increasing international mix (currently 50/50) that brings better margins and working capital profiles, and O&M reaching 20% of the business, which is highly margin-accretive.
- The balance sheet is deliberately light: Gross block and net block are the lowest among peers; the company does not invest in real estate, equipment, or manufacturing. Its assets are its people and its 125-plus patents, all used captively rather than licensed out.
- Cash generation outpaced profit growth: Free cash flow to the firm was almost INR 300 crore, debt was reduced by about INR 140 crore to roughly INR 100 crore, and net cash grew 35% YoY to INR 950 crore, marking the sixth consecutive year and thirteenth consecutive quarter of a net cash position.
Rajiv Mittal: "If we grow on top line 20%, we ensure that the bottom line grows more than 20%. That's what is profitable growth. We don't grow at the cost of our profit. And also we ensured that at the same time our cash generation is more than this 20%."
Technology, New Verticals & the Manufactured Water Thesis
- "Manufactured Water" is the framing for two drought-proof sources: seawater desalination at 8 paise per litre and recycled used water at 5-6 paise per litre. Both are perennial: the sea never dries, and humans always generate used water.
- A new future-energy vertical has been carved out: A dedicated team is targeting solar PV, semiconductors, data centers, green hydrogen, and AI-driven water consumption, a market management pegs at \$4-6 billion in the medium term. Initial orders are INR 500-600 crore, with volume expected to build as green hydrogen economics improve over the next 3-4 years.
- AI partnerships are showing operational results: The Pani Energy collaboration, now 6-8 months old, has reduced chemical consumption and improved water utilization at the Coimbatore plant; management plans to replicate the intervention across other installations.
- Bio-CNG is a volume play, not a margin play: The first plant is operational, serving 3,500 homes or 400 vehicles per day, but management calls it "not very lucrative" individually; the intent is to multiply it across many locations.
- No diversification outside water is planned: Management calls WABAG a "pure-play water company" and sees the water market as big enough to hit growth targets without straying, though a small bolt-on technology acquisition globally is being explored.
Rajiv Mittal: "A desalination water is 8 paise a litre. I repeat, 8 paise a litre. It's affordable."
Leadership & Strategy Refresh
- A new Deputy Managing Director has joined: Bhupesh Chowdary Nagineni brings 30 years of industry experience from Tata Projects, L&T, and a long tenure at Adani Group where he built verticals from scratch and listed a billion-dollar company. He has expatriate experience in the Middle East and Southeast Asia.
- A new five-year strategy blueprint is being drawn up: The Deputy MD is identifying capability gaps and drawing new guardrails; management expects the refreshed strategy to be put out "through this year" and believes it will be better than current guidance.
- A gradual leadership transition is underway: The Chairman noted, "Slowly we have to take a break. We have capable leaders coming in. You will hear them more," signaling a managed succession process.
Guidance & Commitments
| Commitment | Specifics | Timeline |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth | 15% to 20% CAGR | Ongoing (FY26 delivered 20%) |
| EBITDA margin | 13% to 15% band | Ongoing (FY26 at 13.3%) |
| ROCE | Cross 20% | "Next couple of years" |
| O&M revenue share | Reach 20% of total revenue | Medium-term, 3 to 5 years |
| Order book coverage | Maintain at least 3x of revenues | Ongoing (currently over 4x) |
| Kuwait order signing | First job in the country | "Very imminent," expected within this quarter |
| New five-year strategy | Blueprint with refreshed guardrails | "Through this year" |
| CIS expansion | Two to three more countries beyond Georgia | This year |
Key Metrics
| Metric | Q4 FY26 |
|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹4,000 cr (FY26), +20% YoY |
| PAT | ₹371 cr (FY26), record high, +26% YoY |
| Q4 PAT | ₹130 cr, vs ~₹100 cr in Q4 FY25 |
| EBITDA margin | 13.3% (FY26), within 13%–15% guided band |
| PAT margin | 9.4% (FY26) |
| Order intake | ₹7,500 cr (FY26), vs ₹5,700 cr in FY25 |
| Order backlog | ₹17,200 cr, +26% YoY, over 4x revenue |
| Net cash | ₹950 cr, +35% YoY; sixth consecutive year net cash positive |
| Gross cash | ₹10,500 cr, debt at ~₹100 cr |
| Free cash flow to firm | ~₹300 cr (FY26) |
| ROCE | 19.4%, approaching 20% target |
| ROE | over 15%, closer to 16% |
| Net working capital days | ~100 days |
| Revenue mix: EPC / O&M | 83% / 17% (FY26); O&M target 20% in 3–5 years |
| Revenue mix: Municipal / Industrial | 80% / 20% (FY26) |
| Revenue mix: India / ROW | 50% / 50% (FY26) |
| O&M share of order backlog | ~40%, ~₹6,500 cr |
| Dividend per share | ₹5/-, up from ₹4/- in FY25 |
| Credit rating | AA- stable (long-term), A1+ (short-term) |
| India business revenue | ~₹1,860 cr (FY26), flat YoY |
| India business Q4 profit | ₹60 cr, down from ₹127 cr in Q3 FY26 |
| GCC market opportunity | \$5 bn per year average over next 10 years |
| Al-Haer STP physical progress | 83% |
| Desalination water cost | 8 paise per litre |
| Recycled used water cost | 5–6 paise per litre |
| Engineers recruited annually (freshers) | 200 |
| Patents and trademarks | over 125 |
| Plants built since 1995 | over 1,500 |
| Plants built since inception | 7,000 |
| Countries of operation | 25+ |
| Technical workforce | ~2,000 qualified engineers |
| Global ranking (private operator / desalination) | number three |
| Bio-CNG plant capacity | serves ~3,500 homes per day or 400 vehicles |
| Price variation clause coverage (large Indian orders) | 70% of costs covered |